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Originally posted by Shugo
I think we should be giving NOLA back to the sea, it's below sea level, in an area prone to hurricanes. That's not a very wise combination if you ask me.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE IKE
MOVES OVER EASTERN CUBA.
THE TRACK GUIDANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS APPEARS
TO HAVE STOPPED ITS SOUTHWARD SHIFTS. IN FACT...BOTH THE GFDL AND HWRF HAVE SHIFTED A LITTLE NORTHWARD...PERHAPS IN RESPONSE TO THE ADDITIONAL DATA PROVIDED BY THE G-IV DROPSONDE MISSION LAST EVENING. DURING THE 3-5 DAY TIME FRAME THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE WITH THE GFS...UKMET...AND ECMWF ALONG THE LEFT OR SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE...WITH THE GFDL AND HWRF ON THE RIGHT SIDE. THE NEW NHC TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.
Originally posted by anachryonThe 5pm update brings (relatively) welcome news that Ike has weakened to a cat 3 storm with 120mph winds, but pressure officially down to 945mb. Sat images indicate that Ike is undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle prior to Cuban landfall.
This is even better news because if he makes landfall before EWRC completes, he should be at greater risk of being disrupted by his interaction with land.
SFMR AND DROPSONDE OBSERVATIONS FROM A NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT MISSION INDICATE THAT IKE PROBABLY RE-STRENGTHENED TO 110-115 KT BEFORE LANDFALL IN EASTERN CUBA. REGARDLESS...WEAKENING IS NOW EXPECTED AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER THE LANDMASS OF CUBA. source
Waves hit the waterfront in Baracoa, eastern Cuba. Hurricane Ike
took aim at Cuba Sunday after leaving 20 people dead in Haiti,
where fatalities from a succession of powerful storms in the
past few weeks now tops 600. AFP via Yahoo! News - Sep 07 2:29 PM
Waves hit the waterfront in Baracoa, Cuba. Hurricane Ike took aim
at Cuba Sunday after leaving 20 people dead in Haiti, where fatalities
from a succession of powerful storms in the past few weeks now tops 600.
AFP via Yahoo! News - Sep 07 2:29 PM