reply to post by wolfmanjack
Remind yourself how the election works. The person who gets the most electoral votes wins. It's not a national popularity contest like the MSM
would have you believe. There are about 10 states that are going to make the difference.
Among those states is Pennsylvania. If Obama doesn't win PA, he doesn't win. It's that simple. Obama got hammered in the PA primary. Obama also
lost the Ohio primary. Obama also totally dissed Michigan by taking his name off the ballot. These are also states that were the subject of Obama's
"bitter" and "cling to their guns and religion" comments.
These are also states that take their gun rights seriously. Obama is on the wrong side of the gun issue. He isn't fooling anybody with his
Now let's talk about Gov. Palin and Sen. McCain.
McCain has 23 years experience as a naval officer. Obama has none.
McCain has 26 years experience in the Senate. Obama has 4.
McCain is a moderate Republican. Obama is a liberal Democrat.
McCain is white. Obama is black.
McCain selected a conservative, pro-life, pro gun, female for the VP.
Obama selected a lifetime Washington politician for VP.
Now you tell me, which candidate do you think is going to appeal to the white, blue-collar, middle class voters in these "swing" states?
Keep in mind that Kerry only won Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota by 3%, and Wisconsin by 1%.
Kerry lost Ohio outright.
Obama needs to win all the states Kerry won, plus Ohio. Or, Obama needs to win some of the western states Kerry lost. This isn't likely considering
McCain/Palin is a western ticket.
So how is Obama going to win?
Is he going to pull out Ohio? Not likely. People in Ohio are going to LOVE Gov. Palin. Gov. Palin on the ticket has energized the Republican base
like no other VP candidate could have.
And don't forget that Obama's base has been crumbling ever since his FISA vote. He ran on being a different kind of politician and he attracted
millions of people who believed him. These people were left scratching their heads on the FISA vote and on his selection of lifelong Washington
bureaucrat Joe Biden as a running mate.
And don't underestimate the power of talk radio to rile up the Republican base. Hannity and Limbaugh LOVE Gov. Palin as the VP. They will be 100%
on board with getting people to vote for McCain/Palin in the next two months.
A worse sign yet for Obama is that he only got 26% of the vote in West Virginia. TWENTY-SIX PERECENT! That's an unheard of number for front runner
to get at the end of the election. And Obama only received 32% of the vote in Puerto Rico, and lost Texas by 100,000 votes. Not a good sign when it
comes to the Hispanic vote.
And one more thing... there are a LOT of Hillary supporters in PA that are absolutely never going to vote for Obama. And a lot of them WILL vote for
McCain. Do the math. Kerry only won PA by 3%. Hillary clobbered Obama in PA and OH winning by over 200,000 votes in each state.
To answer your question, Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin stand a helluva chance.