posted on Aug, 30 2008 @ 07:26 AM
As Dr. Masters says: "Time to Leave New Orleans"
8am update has Gus at a solid cat 3, 120mph sustained with pressure at 955mb. He took a little more of a northerly track over the last few hours.
Expect to see the modeling jiggle a little due to that, probably back to the east.
There's a weather system moving slowly south that could push Gus west, but this is largely dependent on which system gets there first. If Gus beats
the high, I'm guesstimating a mid-LA to mid-MS landfall. If the high drops down faster, western-LA to near-mid-TX. TBH, though, Gus hasn't really
been doing what he's been expected to do, so there's still much up in the air.
The 8am official track has something of note: it has Gus staying at hurricane strength a full 24 hours after landfall. That's troubling. To me this
implies he could potentially make landfall as a major hurricane, a solid cat 3 or higher.
He also slows down tremendously, and some models have
him all-out stalling right after landfall. This is potentially disastrous. As we saw with Fay, a stalled tropical storm will dump a ton of rain, and
Gus will be much larger and stronger than Fay was.
If you're in a low-lying or coastal area on the northern Gulf coast...please head somewhere safe now. Today. He's firing up faster than anyone
thought, and he's going to just get stronger.