U.S. housing prices will plummet another 10% -20% within 60 days, page 1
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Topic started on 21-8-2008 @ 09:34 PM by In nothing we trust

U.S. housing prices will plummet another 10% -20% within 60 days


www.scrippsnews.com
... a new government ban will terminate virtually all seller-funded down payment assistance programs in the United States.

Oct. 1 is the last day when homebuyers will be able to use seller-funded down payment assistance with any mortgage backed by the FHA.

The ban is part of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008, which President Bush signed into law July 30.

more than 33 percent of loans backed by the agency last year included such assistance, according to FHA data
(visit the link for the full news article)


reply posted on 22-8-2008 @ 12:12 AM by jefwane
reply to post by In nothing we trust



They started drinking their own kool-aid. They knew it was going to end badly and had the hubris to think they could be out before it did. Believe it or not ther is a limit to bigger fools.

(As an aside innothingwetrust, my other comment wasn't meant to be personal, I just think the "say no to health insurance" is bad advice based on personal history a premature birth of a child followed by complications that lead to 6 weeks between 2 hospitals is an expensive proposition for a working person eligible for no public assistance and little private/charitable assistance initially we owed $25,000 after insurance the total bill b4 insurance was well over $200k).


reply posted on 22-8-2008 @ 12:32 AM by In nothing we trust
Originally posted by jefwane
(As an aside innothingwetrust, my other comment wasn't meant to be personal, I just think the "say no to health insurance" is bad advice based on personal history a premature birth of a child followed by complications that lead to 6 weeks between 2 hospitals is an expensive proposition for a working person eligible for no public assistance and little private/charitable assistance initially we owed $25,000 after insurance the total bill b4 insurance was well over $200k).


NO offense taken Jef. The health insurance debacle was actually debated in this thread recently.

"It's Like Something Out Of The Third World"
www.abovetopsecret.com...'

Many people disageed with my views. I actually sold health insurance to small business owners for a few months, years ago. When I had prospects tell me that they were thinking of going without health coverage I didn't know how to respond. I thought they were nuts.

If I were selling the stuff now I would use scare tactics like big bill storys (Fear of loss). But I just feel like the entire system is so fuc@ed at this point that we just gotta take it down and start over.

What would I do if my little girl or boy needed a major operation and I didn't have health coverage?

God only knows. Bankruptcy, Medical tourism to India, car wash fundraiser, more drastic measures, who knows.

Just because you have health insurance and pay the premiums, it doesn't mean that they will pay the bill. Think about that.

[edit on 22-8-2008 by In nothing we trust]


reply posted on 22-8-2008 @ 02:44 AM by burdman30ott6
I have some issues with some of the opinions in this thread.

1. This is a buyer's market only, and I stress only, if you have a significant amount of cash on hand for a down payment and have virtually impecable credit. The banks aren't lending right now. Right now is the time to be saving for a house because the prices will continue to drop and mortgage companies will continue to go belly up until this war of attrition is complete. Once housing prices begin to level off and lenders start lending again, THEN you buy.

2. Some folks here are cheering a double edged sword. As home values (synonymous with the market price, regardless of semantics) continue to drop, existing mortgages do NOT drop in amount owed. That means more and more people will decide to just walk away as they see that they still owe their mortgage company $250,000 on a house that is now market valued at $200,000. That doesn't even count the interest they will pay if they pay installments through the life of the loan. Only a damn fool would continue to subject themselves to that type of nonsensible "investment." So forclosures will continue until the market stabilizes and home values begin to rise again.

3. The property tax question was quite valid. If you think this year has been brutal on state, county, and city budgets thanks to higher fuel and material costs, wait until you see next year. When the county assessors come knocking and one of two things happen:
a) The assessors continue to valuate the properties at their pre-downturn levels to ensure tax bills stay robust
or
b) The assessors drop the values down to current market level and government income generated by property tax comes in millions of dollars below 2008 figures for most major cities & counties.

If option a happens, there will be a massive home owner revolt, lawsuits, refusals to pay, and possible civil unrest in some of the hardest hit neighborhoods. If option b happens, especially in states like Washington & Texas which have no income tax and rely very heavily on property taxes, expect massive widescale budget cuts which will cause layoffs, eliminate all but the most essential social and civic programs, and severely damage the infrastructure as all but the most pressing maintenance will be put on the back burner, including most new construction.

Home values became ridiculously overinflated in the 90's and early part of this decade. That wouldn't have been such a huge deal except that far too many people, companies, & agencies latched onto the gravy train to make a buck without considering the long range implications. Home owners loved it because they believed the sky was the limit on how much of a return they could make on their investment. Companies loved it because they saw an opportunity to beef up their books and amass huge amounts of anticipated future capital from borrowers. The government loved it because all those lovely tax dollars helped fund their fondness for pork & gave them more $100 to wipe their backsides with or light their cigars with.

If we'd take the open market capitalism approach here (which we should, as it is the quickest path back to a robust market) the government would allow the war of attrition to claim whatever lending banks & mortgage companies couldn't keep themselves above water (there would be no bailout), anyone who had no business buying a home in the first place and only got one because of shady dealings and ARMs would lose the home they had no business in, and the local governments would be forced to actually budget and prioritize for a change instead of wasting precious tax dollars on new stadiums, art grants, and other needless crap. In other words, our economy would hit rock bottom quickly instead of this long drawn out process we're seeing right now, and it would have a chance to start its rebound sooner rather than later. Currently all that's been done is to shuffle the ultimate result down the road a little bit and a little bit there, stretching out the pain.


reply posted on 22-8-2008 @ 10:30 AM by drphilxr
reply to post by Prometheus3



I live in overpriced Newton, and am still nauseated at the fact i had

to pay $997k in 2005 for a !@# Townhome, making me a financial

slave to it.

Boston and other metro areas that have minimally dipped in home values

(1-5%) should be next on the hitlist, and I DON'T CARE if the damn

house is worth less than our measly 20% equity in it.

A buddy remarked in 2004 "My dad bought his house in (bos metro town)

in 1955 for $12,000, which was about his yearly salary. Try buying a house

anywhere for your yearly salary..."

WHAT DID THIS STUPID COUNTRY EXPECT WAS GOING TO HAPPEN

TO INSANE HOUSING PRICES?

But, then again, a few people DID make a lot of money during this bubble,

just like the $1 trillion + that went 'poof' with the dot.coms.

My sister bought a $4 million dollar Malibu beach house in need of a

renovation, but her and her real estate finance hubby "can't afford it

due to market conditions..."

This is EVERYWHERE and AFFECTS EVERYONE. Makes me kinda smile

thinking about all those 'poor rich ladies in their maseratis' who

run me over every day in chestnut hill.

peaceout

[edit on 8/22/2008 by drphilxr]
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