Originally posted by ZeroKnowledge
And i see no proof of Georgia shelling S. Ossetia. Russian federation pushed international observers out of this area, then it staged war games, then
claims of land by leader of "independent" South Ossetia and now this.
There are still international observers in the area, namely EU monitors.
Russia backs EU, not U.S., role in Georgia
From the Link:
Source: Reuters
* Russia backs EU monitors in Georgia
* Lavrov says opposed to U.S. playing a role
* EU, United States aware of Georgia risks, Lavrov says
MOSCOW, Aug 5 (Reuters) - Moscow welcomes the work of EU monitors in Georgia, deployed in the Caucasus state a year ago after the Russian invasion,
but is opposed to the United States having a role, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Wednesday.
In a brief war last August, Russia crushed Georgia's attempt to retake its rebel province of South Ossetia. Moscow has recognised the independence of
South Ossetia and another rebel region of Abkhazia, taking them under its security umbrella.
Under a peace deal brokered by French President Nicolas Sarkozy, the European Union has sent 240 unarmed monitors to Georgia to oversee a fragile
ceasefire. Georgia now wants the United States to join the monitoring.
"The presence of EU monitors on Georgian territories bordering South Ossetia and Abkhazia is an important stabilising factor and we support such a
presence," Lavrov told state-run television channel Vesti-24.
No one, except for Russia and Nicaragua, has so far recognised the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. But Moscow, arguing that their separate
status from Tbilisi must be recognised, has blocked access for monitors to both regions.
The monitors in turn complain that the lack of access restricts their ability to verify mutual accusations of blame for sporadic attacks on both sides
of the de facto borders.
Russia sees the monitors as a force to prevent any concentration of Georgian forces in areas bordering South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
Georgia, keen to get Western support in its stand-off with Russia, asked the United States last month to join the EU monitoring mission -- although
the EU itself has not made any such request to Washington.
Lavrov said the Georgian request was part of a plan to drag the United States into a confrontation.
"The idea is absolutely clear and we honestly told this to our U.S. colleagues," Lavrov said. "This is all about dragging Americans into Georgia
and pitching them against the Russian military."
"After that, the Georgian masters of provocation... will try doing their traditional job," he added. "The risks of this are clear, Europe and the
United States understand them."
The reason why EU monitors can not determine there has been Georgian shelling on South Ossetia is because there are no EU monitors in South
Ossetia.
We will probably see Western Media swarm all over Georgia to see where the South Ossetian shells hit, but it does not fit the preferred view for the
MSM to see where the Georgian shells hit in South Ossetia.
The Russian war games was a response to NATO war games in Georgia.
Originally posted by ZeroKnowledge
Georgia has nothing to gain from this war, it cannot take back the land because of Russian obvious military superiority.
You are correct, Georgia has nothing to gain but pain from this war, but Saakashvilli and his cohorts, in goading Russia to attack, would once again
paint Russia as the aggressor and the big bad boy.
Saakashvilli believes this will internationally isolate Russia in the process, and strengthen his position, hoping for NATO to wage war against Russia
for him.
What Saakashvilli does not take into account is that Russia is an important strategic partner to NATO, and Russia can not be ignored.
Originally posted by ZeroKnowledge
Russian leader on the other hand promissed to hang Saakashvilli by his body parts, and having Georgia under Russian control would eliminate threat of
alternative oil/gas rout into EU.
Then why waste time? Why did Russian tanks not go straight on to Tblisi last year, drag Saakashvili from his presidential residence, and lynch him?
By taking military action also, Russia knows how it will be portrayed by the media.
Russia does indeed want Saakashvilli gone. But why use tanks when the Georgian opposition grows stronger and may drive him out?
Originally posted by ZeroKnowledge
So i bet that this is re-run of Winter War from 1939, when USSR claimed that much weaker Finland shelled its forces as a casus belli.
There was a Georgian aggressor from that war, and one from last year's war, and possibly this new war.
Russia are no angels, they have their own backyard as America has it's backyard, but Saakashvili's Georgia is not Hungary '56 or Czechoslovakia
'68.
[edit on 5-8-2009 by Regensturm]