The Questions U.F.O. skeptics can't answer, page 73


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ATS Members have flagged this thread 32 times


reply posted on 20-10-2008 @ 08:06 AM by AlienCarnage
reply to post by stmichael



Many skeptics either believe or want to believe in aliens visiting or even contacting this planet. The fact is that all of the evidence provided thus far is circumstantial. Fuzy photographs are hardly proof of alien visitation. Goverment officials "comming forward" is hardly proof. The fact it is only a select few and that most are retired does not help their case. Alot of time retireees get bored and want a little attention to make them feel less bored. Some get mentaly unstable. Even if there were any truth in what the remaining ones say, they cannot be trusted to these others. This is true for all testimony. So your are left with physical "slap me in the face with an alien" evidence which as of yet has not been provided.

As far as your comparing this to magic tricks and misdirection given by magicians as to how they are accopmlished. Since you do some magic, I am guessing your are talking sligh of hand and stage magic verses actual magic. There are so many differnt ways in which these tricks can be performed, which if an answer is given by someone as to how a particular magician performed the trick, they might be incorrect. This is not misdirection on the person giving the answer, just an incorrect guess. Which is why this anology does not fit well when describing the skeptic but instead more the side of the believer explaining UFO's. The skeptic would take this and ask for proof that it is done the way described.



reply posted on 21-10-2008 @ 02:32 PM by relop
reply to post by polomontana



see : ufos.nationalarchives.gov.uk...

also www.think-aboutit.com...

I remembered this case. Everybody got crazy calling a local radio station during local festivities when they saw the F14 chasing the UFO and dissapeared. I had a friend who saw it and stopped visiting his church after the incident. He is still looking for answers today.


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 10:02 PM by Anonymous ATS
reply to post by secretnasaman

The word 'skeptic' doesn't mean :not believe. It means 'doubtful'. Read, Those who wont hear must feel....on the Ats web site. The people may very well see UFO's that are not there.


reply posted on 4-1-2011 @ 03:59 PM by ArMaP
reply to post by Voyce



Interesting, but more from a psychological point of view of how people react than from an evidence of aliens or UFOs point of view.

No real evidence, once more.

But I can wait.


reply posted on 4-1-2011 @ 06:49 PM by Jezus
Originally posted by ArMaP
reply to
post by Voyce



Interesting, but more from a psychological point of view of how people react than from an evidence of aliens or UFOs point of view.

No real evidence, once more.

But I can wait.


The interesting psychological point is how people react to evidence.

Depending are how "fantastic" you view a concept it is easier to rationalize the evidence to fit some preconceived explanation.

In other words, even if you had a direct personal experience you might think it is more logical to assume it was an hallucination if you think the possibility of alien life is that unlikely.

This is exactly why evidence is subjective.



reply posted on 5-1-2011 @ 02:54 PM by ArMaP
Originally posted by Jezus
The fact remains that if you consider the possibility of random unexplained hallucinations to be more plausible than the existence of extraterrestrials, literally ANY evidence can be dismissed and rationalized away.
It depends.

There are some known conditions that create hallucinations, so if some of those conditions are present then it becomes a more plausible explanation than extraterrestrial presence on Earth.

But if those conditions are not present and there isn't any evidence of their presence at the time of the event, then hallucinations become as good as any other explanation.

Extraterrestrial presence on Earth (not as well documented as hallucinations) may also be an explanation, although always less likely to be the right explanation, like all other explanations for which we don't have strong evidences.

The nature of the evidence has nothing to do with it.

If someone doesn't consider the existence of aliens to be possible than any evidence can be rationalized away.
It does, when someone compares one witness testimony with a physical evidence, for example.

With witness testimony we don't have any physical evidence, only a description of what the witness witnessed, so we cannot go further than ask questions, and the witness becomes another obstacle between us and the knowledge of what really happened, because now we have a testimony that we don't know if it's true, if it's accurate, if it misses something that witness didn't noticed for some reason, etc.

Physical evidence is just that, you can pick up a piece of some strange metal, for example, and do some tests.

They will not tell us if it was really an extraterrestrial related event, but at least we know that the piece of metal is not lying, did not forgot about some of its properties, etc.

Obviously, if someone thinks that extraterrestrial life is impossible, they will never consider it as an option, but then they will get more problems explaining the piece of strange metal than the witness testimony.

Also, people like that are not sceptics, a sceptic must accept any possibility, including those that he/she does not know yet.

At least that's what I do.


reply posted on 6-1-2011 @ 03:03 PM by ArMaP
Originally posted by Jezus
Well the idea that "we" don't have strong evidence is debatable itself but regardless, this seems like an odd statement to make without actually talking about a specific case...
If we have strong evidence of extraterrestrial life present on Earth then that evidence exists with no need to talk about a specific case.

If you have any strong evidence of the presence of extraterrestrial life on Earth I would like to see it.

"always less likely to be the right explanation" = Illogical
Any explanation for which there is no supporting evidence is always less likely to be the right explanation than one for which there is strong evidence, I don't see how that can be illogical.

And don't forget that the fact that one explanation is less likely to be the right one for some event doesn't mean that it's not the right one, only that, without other data, it looks less likely.

Again, if you believe "random unexplained" hallucinations are more likely than the existence of aliens than ANY evidence can be rationalized away after the fact.
You keep talking about "random unexplained" hallucinations, it almost looks like I presented that as an explanation for something, so I will tell you that I don't remember any case for which I thought that a "random unexplained" hallucination was the most likely explanation.

Even scientific analysis of physical evidence can be hallucinated.
Any thing can be hallucinated, even this post.

This might seem ridiculous, but I'm not the one in denial trying to rationalize evidence to fit preconceived notions of a world without extraterrestrials....
Neither am I, although I am starting to think that you think I am.


reply posted on 8-1-2011 @ 07:07 AM by ArMaP
Originally posted by Jezus
The evidence isn't new, we just see it differently.
Then, probably, that means that the evidence is not that strong.

"no supporting evidence"

This obviously isn't the case for all situations.

Again, it is illogical because you aren't speaking about a specific case.
We don't need a specific case to speak about supporting evidence of extraterrestrial life, that evidence either exists or not. It may be related to one specific case, but strong evidence for the existence of extraterrestrial life from one case is enough.

My point is simply that if you attempt to rationalize evidence to fit a world where aliens aren't real you will always be able to.
Evidence should be rationalized, but with no prejudices, either pro or against a specific explanation.

That's what happens when someone sees a video of a light in the night sky and says that it's clear evidence of extraterrestrial life. For that person, biased toward an extraterrestrial explanation of any event, the most likely explanation is the extraterrestrial one. That person will probably also dismiss mundane explanations, like the presence of an airport in the area and the fact that a light means just that, a light.

You have probably already seen some cases like this on ATS.

The same happens with the people that are biased against an extraterrestrial explanation, they will dismiss everything with the first idea that comes to their heads, even if it doesn't look anything like what they can see in the video, but, for that person, that is the most likely explanation, and he/she will dismiss any attempt of showing that the event doesn't look like their proposed explanation.

You have probably seen some of these on ATS also.

What I think should be done is to rationalize the event and the evidence (like we do everyday, in other situations), with no bias in any direction and with the thought that people are easily fooled by their senses, so we should always be prepared to change our opinions when presented with new data.

And what we always have is just a likely explanation, either right or wrong, close or far away from the truth, until we get unmistakeable evidence that one of those explanations (or even one nobody thought about) is the right one.
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