U.S. Considers Takeover of Two Mortgage Giants, page 2
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ATS Members have flagged this thread 28 times


reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 03:09 PM by titian
reply to post by mybigunit



Hope you made some bank today... I'm holding nothing but one mutual fund over the weekend. I'm determined to have that darn mutual go positive for me this summer.

Part of me wants to short Lehman over the weekend as the options are pointing to something coming and there's chatter out there. Lots of volume on July 10, 12.5 and 15 puts and they expire next week. I'm no options expert but I'm starting to play them more than the underlying stock.


reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 04:08 PM by Rockpuck
reply to post by mybigunit



*sigh*...

Got raped in the Forex markets today lol.. Effin Yen ...

Anyways, no good comes from socializing debts..

If we nationalize failing companies.. why the hell not nationalize profitable companies? .. If we the tax payer will burden the debts of Frannie and Freddie, god damnit we better burden the profits of Exxon, Chevron, and so forth..

Capitalist market, Socialized Debt. Sorry, I don't play that game..


reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 06:11 PM by Rockpuck


Can you say ... desperate Plunge Protection Team? Impressive 30mins there at the end...

Fed officially Closes Indymac!

Not a good sign at all..


reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 07:21 PM by mybigunit
reply to post by titian



Im looking into $20 citi Jan10 calls. I think the time is getting close. Not yet but soon. Im looking at getting a hundred or so contracts. In the short term im bearish on financials but over the next year and a half Im bullish. I think this is just a bunch of fog the more bloodier I see it get.


reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 07:23 PM by mybigunit
reply to post by Rockpuck



A friend of mine has been long the euro since around $1.56 and rode it all week. He made over 100k this week alone. I havent been trading much forex I jumped out of gold grrrrr now Im kicking myself in the ass. I may just back in on a pullback but I dont know if that pullback will come anytime soon.



reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 08:09 PM by Leo Strauss
Originally posted by Rockpuck
reply to
post by mybigunit



*sigh*...

Got raped in the Forex markets today lol.. Effin Yen ...

Anyways, no good comes from socializing debts..

If we nationalize failing companies.. why the hell not nationalize profitable companies? .. If we the tax payer will burden the debts of Frannie and Freddie, god damnit we better burden the profits of Exxon, Chevron, and so forth..

Capitalist market, Socialized Debt. Sorry, I don't play that game..


Rock you're already subsidizing big oil...surprised you didn't know that already!!


reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 08:34 PM by titian
Originally posted by mybigunit
reply to
post by titian



Im looking into $20 citi Jan10 calls. I think the time is getting close. Not yet but soon. Im looking at getting a hundred or so contracts. In the short term im bearish on financials but over the next year and a half Im bullish. I think this is just a bunch of fog the more bloodier I see it get.


That's a good long-term play. I've been doing short-term options plays based on dips and runs. I still have the DT mentality even though I don't actively DT anymore. Guess it's an adrenaline thing...

Good luck to you. I really enjoy your insight.


reply posted on 12-7-2008 @ 05:31 PM by Power_Semi
As I understand this with regards to Fannie & Freddie, the securities/debts/call them what you will are not held by the US, they are held by a large majority by foreign investors, funds, governments, etc, as treasuries, with China being a massive stake holder.

The F&F treasuries are clearly marked as NOT being guaranteed by the US government, & so the holders of those treasuries recieve a big premium in their returns in exchange for holding the risk themselves.

Now, if the US Govt were to bail them out, then it would ultimately be the US tax payer who would be paying, but this would hardly be right - the holders/investors/speculators have already been getting bigger returns because they hold the risk - if they then "get out of jail free" because YOU all pay to bail out F&F, then you are in effect subsidising the foreign investors/banks/etc yourselves, letting them have big fat returns & then giving them their money back!

However, if the US govt allows them to go bust say, & the Chinese were to lose say $1 Trillion on it, what would they do with the other $8 Trillion (or whatever unbelievable number it is) - they'd probably dump the Dollars onto the market causing a run on the Dollar.


What should they do? Make you, the struggling US taxpayer cough up even more, or run the risk of a financial tsunami?

The Chinese et al will end up just using those Dollars to buy up every US corporation & asset they can get their hands on anyway - they hold enough Dollars to buy outright every stock market listed company in the US & UK already apparently.



reply posted on 12-7-2008 @ 10:59 PM by SevenThunders
reply to post by titian



It's just too hard to be long options and win. The bid ask spreads are ridiculous and the decaying premium kills as well. The only way to make consistent mone in options is to sell them IMHO.

It's probably easier to just buy short ETFs like SKF or UDN.
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