posted on Jun, 29 2008 @ 04:10 PM
I think that Iran plays its cat-and-mouse game superbly. The don't cross the point-of-no-return provocation, they just push the edge of the
envelope with the enrichment and the, what, 3000 shiny new centrifuges? After Russia announced that Iran was to be delivered a "lifetime" supply
of fissionable material for the nuclear plant? So, isn't it somewhat obvious what's going on, especially with the constant and continual waffling
with the IAEA inspections, and all? I mean, did we not see a very similar scenario in Iraq?
Hypothetical situation: A neighbor says, I'm going to get you. I am dedicated to your destruction, you just won't know when. I then might
become committed to a dialogue with the neighbor, find out if I can what the issues are and if there are any breakpoints we can negotiate on. All
the while, I might be watching them pretty closely, perhaps secreting some weaponry caches, and alerting my network who has made threats, should they
be successful. They refuse to talk. The police call on them, but they find nothing in the way of illegal weaponry. I wait. and wait.
How long should one wait? Well, for one thing in this whackamole scenario, his family (the people analogy) may not be behind this suicidal effort.
They've done nothing to me. So I'm in a continual mode of watching, waitng for an action that confers to me that the time has come, that the
neighbor is making his move. I'd be a FOOL to let him get close enough to injure me or my family. The police can't respond until he makes an
Really not a directly applicable analogy, but I think that's what's going on. I don't think it matters much the alliances or not of the
surrounding players. It's a chess game for which a draw is a win, and it's the best we can hope for.