The coming catastrophe

An excellent article aboout Iran and the consequences. Here is a little snippet from the article:

It’s no secret that the U.S. is currently putting the finishing touches on several contingency plans for attacking Iranian nuclear and military facilities. With our ground forces stretched to the breaking point in Iraq and Afghanistan, none of the most likely scenarios involve a ground invasion. Not that this administration wouldn’t prefer to march into the seat of Shiite Islam behind a solid, moving line of M1 Abrams tanks and proclaim the country for democracy. The fact is that even the President knows we can’t pull that off any more so he and the neo-cons will have to settle for Shock and Awe Lite.

If we invade Iran this year it will be done using hundreds of sorties by carrier based aircraft already stationed in the Persian Gulf and from land based aircraft located in Iraq and Qatar. They will strike the known nuclear facilities located in and around Tehran and the rest of the country as well as bases containing major units of the Iranian military, anti-aircraft installations and units of the Revolutionary Guard (a separate and potent Iranian para-military organization).

Will this military action stop Iran’s efforts to develop nuclear weapons? Probably not. It will probably not even destroy all of their nuclear research facilities, the most sensitive of which are known to be underground, protected by tons of earth and reinforced concrete and steel designed to survive almost all attacks using conventional munitions. The Iranian military and Revolutionary Guard will most likely survive as well, although they will suffer significant casualties and major bases and command centers will undoubtedly be destroyed. However, since Iran has both a functioning Air Force, Navy (including submarines) and modern anti-aircraft capabilities, U.S. fighter-bombers will suffer casualties as well. This will not be a "Cake Walk" as with the U.S. led invasion of Iraq in 2003 when the Iraqi Army simply melted away and the Iraqi Air Force never even launched a single aircraft.

Not even close.

If the United States attacks Iran either this summer or this fall, the American people had better be prepared for a shock that may perhaps be even greater to the national psyche (and economy) than 9/11. First of all, there will be significant U.S. casualties in the initial invasion. American jets will be shot down and the American pilots who are not killed will be taken prisoner - including female pilots. Iranian Yakhonts 26, Sunburn 22 and Exocet missiles will seek out and strike U.S. naval battle groups bottled up in the narrow waters of the Persian Gulf with very deadly results. American sailors will be killed and U.S. ships will be badly damaged and perhaps sunk. We may even witness the first attack on an American Aircraft carrier since World War II.

Read on here is the full story: Source


A very interesting read speculating the consequences of attacking Iran.


-Kdial1

Edit: Grammar in title

[edit on 27-6-2008 by kdial1]

Good article. Finally an attack where America does not attack an underprivileged country. If this does happen the whole world will be screwed with the rise and cost of living.

This is what i think will happend:

I think the nuck senters are the last targets that will be atttacked. And i think Israel wount attack Iran if they get US involved. They will attack Lebanon And maybe Syria. And the US will do Iran on its own.

If Israel Takes on Iran with out US help . Israel might get hurt badly. I mean realy bad. Israel might have to defend three fronts at thesame time. IRAN,LEBANON,and SYRIA.

The first stage of the war will be to attack three main targets at the same time in a massive scale!! The biggest ever seen. The Iranian air and Naval defence and their rocket retaliation systems. The worst thing about bombing Iran, is all their 20 to 30 000 rockes that are pointing towards Isael. And the second thing is! no one knows what they are armed with. Well moust like not nucks. And we can only imagin that they wount hit their tragets that good. But thats a dumb insurance.

In this large scale off a war, The US dont have much room for Tactical errors, or malfunctions on their defence and attack systems, somthing like that do happend. The punishment would cost them dearly. The US Have three carriers in the Gulf region. And depend havy on them to function non stop. And if they get hit and dammaged they will just be a floating Hotel.

What the picture realy is going to look like after the initial attack is very hard to predict. But the initial attack is going to tell the out come of who is going to be succsefull. The US have by far the upper hand ,but its not always the biggest and best gunns that winns the battle.

And i do agree with the thread starter, Its going to cost us all.



[edit on 27-6-2008 by spy66]

reply to post by spy66


If it does happen, we better hope the Russians have not sold them Advanced ECM that we do not know about. I am sure after Israel bombed Syria's Nuclear site and jammed their weapons systems they have worked out the kinks. Lets just hope all of this money that went into intelligence is being put to good use finding out the ECM they are using.

I am saying that for the sake of our airmen if we get involved.

-Kdial1