Originally posted by Gazrok
So what is actually stopping us but ourselves?
Same thing that fueled the 80's....people want to see a return on their investment NOW, not in their children's lifetimes.
Companies and politicians are not likely to throw money into a project whose rate of return won't even be achieved in their lifetimes. They want more
immediate profits (especially in today's lagging economy, i.e. the unstated "recession").
(my math may be a little off, but I think it's right here)
If we had a spacecraft going the speed of the Space Shuttle (about 17.600 mph), it'd take over 150,000 years to get to the nearest star system!
Let's get gutsy, and say we had a craft that could go 100 times the speed of the Shuttle. Now we're only looking at 1,500 years! Even going quarter
light speed, it'd still take us 16 years, so we're still looking at a pretty long term investment for interstellar travel.
Interstellar travel easy? Hardly.
Interplanetary travel? Now that's a different ballgame, and the problem there is more of a cost to profit ratio. The cost to use offworld resources
is (with current tech) more than the potential profit to be gained from such resources. Until the scale tips the other way in this, you're not going
to see a strong urge to go down that road.
Space travel in the past was fueled by only one thing. National pride. It was a fluke. Until there is another fueling factor for space travel, it will
continue to be a back-burner concern for business and politics.
Valid points but we could go allot faster than 100x the speed of the shuttle, shuttle is not in any way fast as space travel goes the shuttles top
speed was 17,000 mph where as Helios 2 has achieved speeds of 150,000 mph around the sun by using it's gravity...
We have never actually tried to break these speeds... with existing technology, combinations of ram jet ideas via nuclear, solar gravity acceleration,
and other technology I am sure we could surpass comfortably 100 x the speed of the shuttle.
And that's the point of this thread, because that's what we probably could do and do fast If... and I say If we lit a fire under the project...
so lets stick with 100x the speed of the shuttle, which I think we could outdo, but lets say that is our cap...
1,500 years, now divide that by 4 that's just under 400 years to each new dark jupiter... That's assuming there are only 2 between us and alpha
Centauri and estimates say that number could be as high as 10 or more...
But certainly failed stars out number the stars we can see vastly...
each one would be a mini system, assuredly have many moons, nothing we have seen about the galaxy says that this is not a constant, in fact rdundancy
of what we see absolutely seems to be th norm...
so we are talking about 400 years on a large ark to encounter a new system... that's If we have only 2 failed stars between here and a centauri and
If we can Only achieve 100x the speed of the shuttle...
400 years is plenty of time for a crew of lets say 8, to breed a population large enough to colonize a planet... but not so long as to make it over
blown.
You would need to build a craft the size of the island of manhattan realistically which with Global effort could absolutely be done...
Now lets be a bit optimistic lets say we can do 200x the speed of the shuttle... and there are 4 large jupiter sized or larger planetary bodies
between us and Alpha centauri...
still possibly being conservative... that speed should be doable, and the number of planets is less then half possible estimates...
Now we are talking about, 750 years to A Centauri... divided by 4 is 100 years between dark systems...
judging by jupiter and saturn with over 30 moons each... if you assume 1/4 that number of moons because of distance from a real star that is still 30
or more worlds between us and a centauri...
If efort is made to set up the craft to colonize even barren worlds in the manner of the moon we could over the next 750 years at that speed, spread
colonies albiet small ones maybe barren nes all the way to the next star...
The remainder of the project is having shuttles available and launching payloads of supplies to the coordinates for expansion as population grows...
tools, drills, newer tech...
Further technology would be advancing this entire time bak on earth..wired via internet to the craft through the entire journey
Birth control could be used to assure the colonies don't overpopulate until such a time as supplies or new faster craft arrive...
now all this is theoretical... we could start simply with probes... Helios hit 150,00o mph, helios with a ram jet or other tech...could go faster...
we wouldn't need to even send people first...
I picture skyscraper sized robotic craft being phase one, with telescopes and gravity sensors out to map the local region of space for large bodies
and planets that could sustain life... The moon would be the test dummy for barren planet colonization... the satellites would then park in large
orbit around any bodies we find, even ones the size of sedna... and establish photo taking and data transmission positions...
we would focus on setting up colonies outward in order of planets while extending ouir satellite reach to orbit our solar system and beyond...
Costs to start the process are minimal...
A single satellite, a large long lasting one, traveling at the speed of helios by using the sun as a sling... for a couple of Billion dollars... our
weekly Iraq costs btw... could enter and take orbit with a major telescope i.e planetary finder, com relay system, extensive photographic equipment
and even a docking bay for small craft pilots... and be in place in the Kupier belt in well under 10 years, the a second in orbit around the oort
cloud...
Now lets say we dedicate the equal of the US military budget 1 Trillion a year to this purpose... small manned colonies, supply launching station,
large craft orbital construction center long rage satellite production.
It wouldn't be very long at all... before we had the locations of all large bodies between us and neighbor stars and had colonies all over the solar
system and realy points for com beyond the oort cloud... 30 years or less... my life time could see, a craft reach the first world truely beyond our
solar system....