It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.

Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.

Thank you.

 

Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.

 

13 Keys to the Election

page: 1
0

log in

join
share:

posted on Jun, 16 2008 @ 09:03 AM
link   

13 Keys to the Election


www.signonsandiego.com

KEYS TO THE ELECTION
Historian Allan J. Lichtman is renowned in political circles for his “13 keys to the White House.” Over nearly a century and a half, no candidate from the incumbent party has won the presidency if six or more of the keys are going against him.

Key 1: Party mandate. After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House than it did after the previous midterm elections.

Key 2: Contest. There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.

Key 3: Incumbency. The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president.

Key 4: Third party. There is no significant third-party or independent campaign.

Key 5: Short-term economy. The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

Key 6: Long-term economy. Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

Key 7: Policy change. The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.

Key 8: Social unrest. There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

Key 9: Scandal. The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

Key 10: Foreign/military failure. The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

Key 11: Foreign/military success. The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

Key 12: Incumbent charisma. The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

Key 13: Challenger charisma. The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
(visit the link for the full news article)




posted on Jun, 16 2008 @ 09:03 AM
link   
I am posting the 13 keys to the election, which is part of this story:


Political patterns favor Obama, scholars say


Because the keys are key to ths story and ultimately more important than the story itself.

So do your tally:
What is McCain's chances according to these keys?
What is Obama's chances according to these keys?

www.signonsandiego.com
(visit the link for the full news article)



new topics
 
0

log in

join