Well, simply, there are other formidable explanations at hand regarding both famous and less famous UFO/Alien sightings. A quick example will
illustrate the point: Roswell, 1947. The American Air Force encouters a "disc", as stated in the Ramey memo which details information about the said
event, in New Mexico. The US Government said that it was a crashed ballon from Operation Mogul, a Top Secret op' testing survellience equipment.
Others said it was a UFO that resulted in the seizure of a UFO and its crew. To my knowledge, there is little evidence to suggest anything of the
sort. In fact, a better explanation is that it was a crashed device from the Mogul op'. There is more evidence to suggest the latter than to suggest
that it was Aliens.
Incorrect, as you can see here....
Examine the evidence for yourself. I first went into the Roswell case expecting the evidence to support Mogul, but alas, it doesn't. The time was
wrong, and Mogul used off the shelf materials easily recognized by a child, let alone that would be mistaken by a top intelligence officer.
Let's take a quick look at some of the evidence at the site that led people to speculate about UFO's. For instance, the purple shapes that
appeared on some of the crashed material. It was later said that it was toy tape used to hold peices of the device together. Why not accept that?
Accept it we should. One main reason is that, rather than it coming from an alien ship, it came from the Americans. Why would the American Government
want to put clear, Enlgish markings on such a device: what if it crashed over the Soviet Union? Surely the Americans would not want them to find out
the probe was from them. So the markings leave the Soviets guessing, not being able to conclusively pin the probe on the Americans at that time.
Remember, this was an experiment, so they were expecting these things to crash.
What's clear is that, in the Roswell incident, there are other, more likely explanations at hand in comparison to Alien explanations.
There's nothing clear about it. To date, skeptics have failed to produce this tape, so it remains in the same category as other testimony, i.e. as a
witness testimony. If used in a government construction, there should be a purchase record of it somewhere. Yet no, skeptics can still not furnish
this mysterious tape. In contrast, we have at least two expert witnesses (one of which is a General) and other witnesses who testify in reference to
the heiroglyphs on the I-beams. In order to believe the Mogul explanation, you'd have to accept that numerous military personnel would fail to
identify balsa wood and foil for what it is. In addition, you'd need to accept that they felt the material important enough to crate up and ship to
top air materiel sites in the nation (and these are well documented shipments). Again, Mogul used OFF THE SHELF materials, so there was nothing
extraordinary or otherworldly about them, to cause them to be mistaken for strange debris. Only the MISSION of Mogul was classified. The materials
that weren't recovered in some other Mogul losses were simply left in the desert. Nothing special about them. Yet THIS recovery resulted in military
cordons, top secret flights to Ft. Worth and Wright Field, brief incarceration for the rancher, etc.? C'mon? Seriously?
Roswell is a poor example to illustrate Occam's Razor. A better one would be the Mantell Incident, where Charles Mantell died while chasing a Skyhook
balloon. At least that incident can be shown, with evidence, to be a misidentification.
Why are Aliens, who are supposed to be so advanced, crashing into Earth? You think with their technology that such events were rarely, if ever,
happen. Us Humans even have sophisticated, man-less probes that we send into space, why do the Aliens risk coming to Earth when they clearly are not
interested in being "made"? If there were an Alien probe, one can imagine how sophisticated and long range it would be.
Being an alien doesn't exempt one from Murphy's law. One could say the same thing about us. How could we land numerous missions on the moon, but
miss a zero and have a billion dollar satellite go poof? Stuff happens.
How do Aliens get their small ships into our Atmosphere without detection? Granted, their technology maybe so great they have found a way
around our Satellites, but the problem still exists for them.
We can defeat our own radar, why shouldn't an advanced race be capable of the same? A better question would be how do they traverse such vast
distances within a lifetime. Stealth is minor compared to the tech required to do THAT!
There are too many flaws in Alien sightings, which leads back to 1
That'd be like saying there are too many flaws in experimental physics, so such physics must not exist. Silly, huh?
Here's the thing. Lets say you have 10,000 UFO cases and 9999 of them are phony. If even ONE is a genuine otherworldly craft...then the phenomenon is
real. Space is a big, big place. We've already seen evidence for water (and thus likely life of some kind) in numerous places in our solar system
(poles of the Moon, Mars, Europa, Enceladus, etc.). To assume life doesn't exist elsewhere out there, is ludicrous and arrogant. Likewise, to assume
we're the only sentient life, being in a middle-aged part of our own galaxy...is equally arrogant.
As for other reasons to believe in Alien life...it's simple...the government has treated it as a realistic threat for decades...that perceived threat
has to based on more than just fuzzy pictures or rattled witnesses. Evidence such as the missing gun camera footage from Blue Book cases, evidence
gathered in Grudge, Sign, etc., and of course the chances of actual craft recovery... Or, cases where people exhibit knowledge not previously known
(such as Betty Hill's starmap). THESE are the reasons to believe in at least the POSSIBILITY of intelligent alien life and visitation.
[edit on 13-6-2008 by Gazrok]