Hurricane watch 2008

Well ladies and gentleman this hurricane season is said to be a active one.

National Hurricane Center

NOAA Predicts Near Normal or Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season

MIAMI, Florida (CNN) -- Tropical Storm Arthur, the first named storm of the 2008 Atlantic season, formed Saturday near the coast of Belize but was already over land and was expected to weaken later in the day, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.

But the center said the the storm could reemerge in the Gulf of Mexico and regain intensity Sunday.
Atlantic season's 1st tropical storm forms near Belize

So anyone have any opinions on this season activities?

Im skeptic to say it becuase ever since Katrina people have been Screaming "This is the year!!!"

Originally posted by UnitedSatesofFreemasons
Im skeptic to say it becuase ever since Katrina people have been Screaming "This is the year!!!"

Saying what? that a modern city will be destroyed by a hurricane?

What is your opinion of the upcoming season, do you think it will be bad meaning lots of storms lots of damage lots of deaths or not?

Since this has a nice "official" title and it is the first hurrican 2008 thread, I've topped it for Fragile Earth.
Let the hurricane watching begin.

Good thread Dragonfire. We're currently getting some of the outflow of Aruthur........ just some T&L and much-needed rain. I feel for the folks of Belize and Central America in general.... they can't take small storms like many other parts of the Caribbean can -- mudslide fatalities, etc.

It's looking to me like the Bermuda/Azores high is setting up currently closer to the Azores, which suggests to me a potential badness for the Eastern seaboard of the U.S. I'm no meteorologist, just a weather geek.

One thing that's wonderful is the profound myriad of tools available to weather-watchers these days. Virtually everything your local meteorologist has access to (with a few exceptions) is available online, along with professionals to assist you in interpreting them.

Here on the islands, we sometimes say that hurricanes are the lazy person's disaster, as we seem to work best under pressure, and usually start making preparations just days before the storm hits. My family -- we've been ready since LAST hurricane season.

I live in North Carolina, so every single year we are told "THIS IS THE YEAR! REALLY, SERIOUSLY, THE MOTHER LOAD IS COMING!" Every year since Katrina they have predicted above average or way above average years..and they have been wrong. They predicted 2005 to be average and it was one of the most active seasons ever.

I used to live on the beach - we wouldn't even evacuate until it was a Category 3 storm, sometimes a 4. Now, even half way in the state people act hysterical and stock up on food for 5 years for a 40 mile per hour tropical storm.

Now theres even a cottage industry around it - "I survived Hurricane X" tshirts and people throwing hurricane parties whenever one comes near. In my experience, those are usually the ones that die when a hurricane hits NC (hurricane parties are not wise, and very deadly). I seriously think people enjoy the excitement of a hurricane around here, its very odd.

Storm number 1 Arthur



So far no injuries or deaths reported w00t w00t!!

Today is the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane season.



[edit on 1-6-2008 by LDragonFire]

TD#2 Has formed -- from NHC/NOAA..... hopefully it will be a fish storm

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

It's now Tropical Storm Bertha
www.nhc.noaa.gov...

Looks like it'll be a non factor to everyone except shipping...




Yahoo article:
news.yahoo.com...

MIAMI - Tropical Storm Bertha has formed in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Africa.

At 11 a.m. EDT Thursday, the center of the storm was located about 190 miles south-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.

The second named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season is moving toward the west-northwest at about 14 mph, and forecasters expect that to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds were near 40 mph. Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.
......

Well that was a quick upgrade. Bertha's NHC track is significantly more south than all of the models so far though - although it would be unusual for a storm to form that far out without curving up. There is also an 'area of interest' forming in the east Caribbean that might turn into something.

Well it's been a slow season so far lets hope it stays that way. This is what it looks like today.


noaa
Thanks for the heads up and replies

We need to keep our eye on #1

[edit on 3-7-2008 by LDragonFire]

[edit on 3-7-2008 by LDragonFire]

Latest track from Accuweather
Possib le U.S. landfall next weekend

And NHC




Both have shifted the track south threatening the U.S. by next weekend and both have it becoming a hurricane in a couple days.

Thanks for the heads up ThatsJustWeird



Looks like things might get rocky next weekend for the East coast.

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
NOAA

Well here we go!!

Bertha Becomes a Hurricane

Winds up to 90mph now and it looks very good on satellite. Expected to be a cat 2 soon.


Good news is it's expected to curve and miss the U.S.
Well good news for the U.S., maybe not so good news for Bermuda.

Damn that was quick...I was just looking at it this morning. Thank you for the thread and the updates....

Cait

Quick indeed.

It is now the Atlantic's first major hurricane. Winds are up to 115 making it a cat 3. I figured they would upgrade it seeing how well the eye and CDO developed this afternoon.

Latest Advisory

Latest NHC track has it missing Bermuda....to the EAST


So...this may end up being a pretty cool storm. Good looking storm to look at on sat. and doesn't pose a threat to anyone.

More information here:



There now saying there is little chance of hitting the mainland USA.

Bertha weakened yesterday but is regaining some of that strength back today. Cat 1 (75 mph) last advisory but looking at the satallite and redevlopment of it's eye and cdo, it will probably be upgraded to cat 2 or close to it next advisory.
Still doesn't look like it'll pose a threat to anyone.

Nice shot courtsey of NASA

The models are all over the place after about 48 hours or so with this storm. Some have it doing a loop. If that happens, it's possible Bermuda (which is under a tropical storm watch now) could be brushed or affected twice .