Okay I have a few successful predictions to log. My apologies for the delay in getting these posted but things have been rather busy recently.
The first relates to this post from 4 June 2008
, specifically the
Edit to add: And yes, I agree that a mag 6 -plus is due within 12 to 24 hours. Not so sure on where though. Japan is possible but I'm thinking
more of where the Philippines plate meets the Eurasian plate. That region at least.
[edit on 4-6-2008 by JustMike]
Confirmation of two hits in the Philippines Plate region can be found in my post
of 6 June.
Unfortunately I did not save the data or map pages for these events. At that time I saw no need. Since then we have learned that saving this data may
Further, in the 6 June post I said:
While I was expecting a quake in the Philippines plate region within this time window, I thought it would be around a magnitude 6.0, so it's
possible there will be another very close to this small plate's location within a day -- but I'm not speaking of an aftershock in the same place, I
mean a fresh quake on a different part of the fault.
This prediction was confirmed on June 7 and this time I have the data page saved:
The next set of predictions is more recent. Here is my original post from 12
The relevant part which relates to the following two hits is:
The first prediction is for a quake in the vicinity of the Kuril Islands, but more likely at the north-eastern end. Magnitude I feel will be
5.5 or larger. The second is off the west coast of Nth America. I feel most strongly about off the coast of Oregon, but not so strongly that it will
be directly west of Eugene as in my previous prediction. Magnitude for this one may not be so great but I would expect over 4.0 on this occasion.
Could actually be two or three close together there, both in location and time.
A quake occurred in the NE part of the Kuril Islands on 13 June, about 8 hours after I posted my prediction. Here is the data page from USGS:
Here is the link to the above page
but as is normal, this will drop
off the system seven days after the event date.
The final confirmed prediction in this (lonnng!!) post relates to a quake off the coast of Oregon. Here is the link to the USGS page for
mag 4.9 off the coast of Oregon on 14 June 2008.
As this page will also drop off the lists after a week, here is a screen shot of the data page:
Discussion of why my predictions (when correct) are accurate for region and time frame, but often one magnitude below what I expected, can be found
In this post I also said:
Edit: Btw, taking my predictions in
order I suppose on past results it would suggest the off-coast Oregon quake is next in line. But like I said it won't be a very big one by the feel
[edit on 13-6-2008 by JustMike]
The above result confirms this prediction. Please note: in case any argument is raised that my final comment (added as an edit) in the above post was
made after the quake struck, it was in fact posted more than 8 hours before
it occurred. Although the quake happened on the evening of Friday
13 June (local time US Pacific), my
time zone is UTC plus 2 hours, so at the quake's UTC of 6:47 a.m. Saturday 14 June, it was 8:47 a.m on
Saturday here. Senior Admin in ATS can confirm I am in the Czech Republic. Just my IP tells them that...Besides, they needed my home address to send
me an ATS T-shirt some months ago. (The "5/11" one
Well, I think that gets things all up to date and hopefully clears up any doubts that might arise.
Bye for now,