posted on May, 17 2008 @ 05:48 AM
Hi, I'm an American who respects your country and your culture. I know its not the 1970s. You aren't starving from famine, nor are you under the
crushing fist of government censorship. I know this is silly for me to even say, but given the stereotypes that many on this forum have of "red
china," I think its necessary for me to say that.
My question is this. Lets imagine that it is 2050. I'll make what I think are very measured and realistic projections, though its obviously risky
to make such projections. You are seventy years old. China has now firmly established itself as on par with the EU and USA as an economic power. It
has successfully invested in its military force and has a military that can at the very least stand toe to toe with the USA in every aspect, and in
the Pacific is the strongest force. It has access to global resources and has a middle class that is prosperous, healthy, and happy.
Given all these projections what would you hope would be the geopolitical choices that China makes. I know these are broad questions, so rather than
making specific scenarios, I just want to know what your opinion is about the future role of China and what the view of a powerful China would be of
the United States:
1. Would you generally be in favor of annexing Taiwan even if it meant through armed forces.
2. Would you put strong pressure on the USA to leave the Pacific region and give up its bases in South Korea, Japan, Guam, Taiwan.
3. If the only way to accomplish either of the previous two objectives would be to threaten a nuclear strike against the American West Coast, would
you be willing to do that.
4. Would you think that the USA and China would have a special relationship as the two superpowers in the Pacific or would you likely think of us as
a competitor. I know this depends on the next forty years, but if the relationship basically remains unchanged for the next four decades what would
5. Would your relationship with Europe be significantly different than your relationship with America. By that I mean that Europeans are more likely
to become hysterical in regards to your "human rights record" than the American population as evidenced by the thuggery against the Olympic Torch
that happened in Paris.
I am sorry if these sound like simplistic questions, but I'm just wondering what the longterm relationship between America and China. Quite
honestly, in the long term two continents (North America and East Asia) will likely have a profound influence. I'm just thinking about the shape of
things to come.
Since I'd like you to anwer those questions, I think its only fair for me to give an answer to these five from the view of an American.
1. I am not in favor of directly defending Taiwan with American blood. My brother is in the military and am not willing to give his blood or my own
to defend a country (and not just Taiwan) from external threat. A few countries I would (Britain, Australia, Japan, Germany) but that is about it.
That said, I think that America should allow countries to buy the weapons necessary to defend their way of life and democratic form of government from
2. As Americans we are going to need to give way to the inexorable rise of China as a power in the Pacific region. Part of this should involve a
redistribution of forces to demonstrate to our (hopefullly) Chinese allies that we respect them as a power and are willing to show that we are not
aggressive toward them or their right to acheive regional power.
3. If China does threaten nuclear strikes against America, then all bets are off in my mind. I said I'm not willing to sacrafice my own life or
those I care about to defend Taiwain. I am willing to do so if America is directly threatened with attack.