reply to post by kattraxx
Those micros are interesting, aren't they?
I have to say that I still don't see any indications of a major event in the PNW on or by 12/12 (a la webbot and other predictions around the web).
I've given my own opinion of a place to keep an eye on (offshore from Eureka), but I don't see it as being where something major will occur by this
Friday. Just feel that it's a likely spot for an offshore quake, but more likely in the Mag 4 range. I very much doubt we'll see anything in the PNW
region in the next few days beyond a mag 5-range event.
To put this in context: looking at the sort of terminology that has been associated with predictions of a quake in the PNW region by 12/12, both in
threads on this site and elsewhere, it would indicate something at least mag 7-plus but possibly well beyond that. Talk of soil liquefaction over
large areas/ranges, large amounts of flooding, building collapses and the like, would not likely be associated with an event much under a mag 7. While
even a mag 9-plus is possible in this region (and has happened before), I don't pick up anything to indicate it's due within four days or so. My
past experience of very serious quakes tells me that if I pick up on them
, I usually do so within about three days of the event. So, by around
this time tomorrow I'll either revise my present position or just stick with what I've been saying.
However, I'm only only small voice and I've been wrong even in some far less serious prediction cases on this thread. So, I could well be wrong this
time and am simply not picking up what others apparently are. If others do
have indicators of a major event, then please by all means post
them. If on the other hand you are like me and you are not getting any indicators of a major event then it's good to say so. While there seems to be
a growing amount of nervousness in the "web community" connected with 12/12, I feel we need to maintain the very balanced attitude that we have had
thus far and only say what we think will be, without being swayed by what is frankly near-hysteria in some websites.
While the Juan de Fuca subduction zone is always something we need to be concerned about (given its history) I am more worried about a major event in
Alaska in the near future, to be honest. Historically, that region has its share of pretty big quakes. Just drawing on my memory, it hasn't had much
above a mid-6 for quite a while but has the potential for mag-8 quakes. I'm not stating this as a prediction, though, but rather as an observation
based upon known data. If I see indications that something big is due there I'll certainly post a firm prediction.