Well this thread is all about experiments in methods of earthquake prediction, so it makes good sense that if we want to mention anything that is
connected to seismic events, even just our thoughts or feelings about what might be (or might not, come to that), then it's good to do so. Errrm..in
other words I agree with what's just been said by other posters.
My own thoughts and feelings are pretty wide-ranging, from the very practical and empirical stuff through to the more intuitive and even esoteric. So,
as I see it, there are good reasons for looking at all sorts of possibilities...
There seems to be common agreement, both here and in several other places on ATS and elsewhere, that something big is coming up pretty soon. True,
some I've read in other places are mainly looking towards 2012, and while that could be on the cards I feel that what we are picking up on is closer.
A whole lot
closer. The problem right now is trying to nail something down... The sort of "options" of major events that I can think of (off
the top of my head) include --
-- the predicted quake and tsunami off the coast China this month. It's a prediction that's out there in the public domain so it must be mentioned,
whether we consider it a likely event or not. And even so, we must consider that sooner or later, another very large quake -- 9.0 or more -- has to
occur and as 70% of the planet is covered in water, there is a chance for a major tsunami;
-- some "activity" within Yellowstone, but maybe not the big
one (that we most certainly
would not wish to be around for anyway);
-- trouble related to the Nevada swarms and other "unexplained" swarms. (I place "unexplained" in quotes because they are unexplained to we, the
people -- but whether researchers have info they are holding back or not -- we just don't know. We do
know that USGS deletes quake data
without any warning or explanation. (For example the two recent quakes in sth. Wyoming.)
-- the "big one" in California: experts agree that it has to happen sooner or later, and (they say and it makes sense) the longer the time until it
happens, the worse it's likely to be;
-- a major
seismic event if the stuck section of the Juan de Fuca plate lets go and the Cascadia fault makes a huge move. Result: big tsunami
very likely and lots of secondary effects. This is also statistically about "due", but while it could happen today it could also be many, many years
hence. My own feeling is that it will not be many years;
-- other volcanic activity, especially mega-eruptions/explosions, or new, major volcanoes forming either on land or beneath the sea;
-- other very large earthquake events in regions where no previous major activity has been known within recent, geologically-historic times. This
could mean even within the last several hundred thousand to a few million years.
It's not a complete list by any means but it does help to crystallize the importance of what we are trying to achieve here. As the co-hosting OP's
both live in a quake area, those of us who don't are also more aware of what it's like to live with seismic activity day-to-day. This is good for
maintaining some perspective.
My own feelings at present? I am still very concerned with the big "quake lake dam" in China, because there have been further shocks very close to
it, including one yesterday of around a mag. 5.0 and another today ditto. I've stated my opinion on what the authorities should be doing... I see no
reason to either revise my prediction that this dam will fail if sufficient shock is put through it, or that the authorities will have serious
problems if they do not act prudently and very soon
Looking at other regions, the Colorado incident worries me because there is much more to it than just some "burning coal dust". For some reason it
makes me think of the Parícutin Volcano. (If you don't know of it, this volcano was "born" in a Mexican field in 1943. You can read about it in
this Wikipedia article
Wyoming is troublesome because USGS has deleted two quakes that occurred there in the past week. One has to wonder why. They are not close to
Yellowstone, but they were relatively close to the Flaming Gorge Dam.
What on earth (or beneath it) is happening in Nevada? All I can say is that the activity there is very strange and might portend something. I can't
say what but I do feel that it's not something happening in total isolation.