posted on May, 7 2008 @ 05:25 PM
Never believe polls. That rule holds true for supporters from both sides, GOP & Dems. Far too many opportunity to fudge the numbers through
carefull participant selection and pigeonholing questions asked of those polled.
We don't need polls to tell us why Hillary Clinton would lose to John McCain, especially after the events we've seen transpire over the past few
months. If Hillary Clinton gets the nomination (which I believe she will) it will result in hundreds of thousands of black voters, feeling
disenfranchised and screwed over, staying home form the polls. Historically, when dealing with the Dem candidate winning the presidency, those black
votes have been a major component of the difference. Combine those lost votes with the huge percentage of GOP voters who wouldn't urinate on Hillary
if she was ablaze, and you have a pretty solid victory by John McCain.
Barrack Obama doesn't come with the surety of disenfranchised voters. I'm sure some Clinton supporters will automatically vote against him in the
general election, feeling sore over their cnadidate not getting the nomination, but that number won't apparoach the effect she'd have on the black
vote. BUT, I think the moderate democrats are a toss-up at this point. Between the patriotism questions, religious concerns, and appearance of some
very socialism and activist viewpoints Obama espouses, I'd expect a number of moderates to shift over to McCain's side provided he doesn't stick
his foot in his mouth or do something to make them dislike him.
They can blame Rush for this if they want, but it's all on their own shoulders. Last year this presidency was essentially handed to the Democrats on
a silver platter. The GOP field sucked (In the interest of full disclosure, this is a die-hard far right conservative saying that.) and the current
administration left the average American with a desire to try a different direction. Instead of finding a traditional, supportable, moderate Democrat
candidate, the party decided to make a statement and it has backfired on them. While it might sound nice on paper and make some folks feel all warm
and gooey inside, now wasn't the time for them to try and get a historic candidate into the office. But hey, I've certainly enjoyed watching them
act out the King Soloman & the one living baby Bible story in front of our very eyes.