How will you spend your tax rebate?, page 1
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reply posted on 25-4-2008 @ 12:27 PM by Rockpuck
reply to post by TruthWithin



I think I will pay back 4 months of Time Warner that for some reason I never pay.. and now its to big to pay back in one lump sum cuz im greedy ... and I would really appreciate them to stop calling me or even in one instance, showing up at my door.......

think I will put the rest in my stock portfolio and save up for my vacation to South Carolina.

Oh and make my first car payment. That'll be fun.

Maybe go buy a new stainless steel grill with 4 burners so I can ultra grill my steaks.. mm ... I could use a new TV and HD dvd player to.. maybe pay off some credit cards.. or buy new rims for my new car, or new speakers, or both.. buy some new clothes for summer since I mostly wear black suits, I need new glasses as well.. maybe buy the woman somethin purdy.. I want a new snub nose pistol as well, I think the one I got is to big..

I think ima E-mail the IRS and tell them I need a bigger check, and that if they give it to me I will stimulate the economy enough for 5 peoples!


reply posted on 25-4-2008 @ 12:32 PM by gdeed
reply to post by TruthWithin



I'm going to fill up my gas tank and maybe buy some chips and a coke with what's left over.


reply posted on 25-4-2008 @ 12:37 PM by Crakeur
Originally posted by TruthWithin
Personally, I am dumping all of mine into savings.


and therein lines the problem with the rebate. The last time we received one of these governmental gifts, everyone got them and the result was rather stimulating. The gov't is hoping the same will happen but they did a bad thing by limiting the recipients based on their income being below certain thresholds. What they've done is given money to people that will probably not put it back into the system. Many economists and financial experts think one of two things will happen. Either the money will be used to pay off credit card debt or it will go into the bank. Neither will help stimulate the economy as the gov't so desires. The truth is, the folks making over $75k ($150k for married filers) are more likely to have disposable income and, therefore, more likely to take the stimulus and spend it on something rather than pay off credit card debt or put it in the bank. Unfortunately, those income figures are the starting point for the phase out of the stimulus checks so the people most likely to spend that money are the same people the gov't is excluding from the recipient list.

When my clients bring up the rebate and ask how much they are entitled to, the majority of them, when told the amount, say "well, it will cover the interest on my credit card bill for a month" or some variation thereof. I have yet to hear one client say "I'm buying myself a (insert any product here)."

As for what I am doing with it, you can't spend what you don't get.


reply posted on 25-4-2008 @ 12:58 PM by Rockpuck
reply to post by Crakeur



Actually Crakeur your economist would be incorrect..

As the Senate debated the bill, who to give it to, when to give it, what restrictions.. the IRS spent several million dollars through contractors to send out poll after poll ... who will spend the money?

In the end the Democrats actually had the right idea..

Give the money to poor people, none to the rich because that leaves more money for the poor..

Because overwhelmingly, those who paid no taxes, a little bit of taxes and who had numerous children where by far more likely to waste the money..

Where as the Middle Class was more inclined to "say" they would save it, it was determined in all actuality it will give a false sense of security and result in at least double the rebate's worth on products or services.

The upper income families however are not as strained, but still hold a large amount of debt.. the idea was that if you gave a family of four $1,800 it would make no difference to them, and they would continue to spend as they normally spend because the money is a smaller percentage of their income compared to lower income families.. these families where far more likely to put it into ....... Their IRA contributions.

Which is what I advise all of my clients in their 50-60's, pay down credit card debt or save it to contribute to their 2008 IRA's since they need to eventually.

In all reality however...

110 Billion dollars is... not a lot of money.. it should be assumed 25% will be used to pay down debts, 25% saved, 50% wasted.

But even if 100% is wasted into the economy..

That is 100 billion dollars spent at a vast array of stores, a typical store would see sales increase maybe 1-2%, and then plummet....


And here is why the after effect will be worse.. the whole idea is that we give a family of four $1,800 and they will spend $2,500 covering the rest out of their own money, because of the false sense of financial security. Get some money, get a little excited, eat out one to many times and bam.. your screwed..

So what happens when the poor, who where targeted and exploited by the Fed, come out poorer then before they got the checks? .. decreased spending, and Congress will be scratching their heads wondering what the hell went wrong..

Our situation is caused by our spending habits. Why the hell is our government encouraging us to spend??!?



reply posted on 25-4-2008 @ 01:28 PM by Rockpuck
Aigh, and WASTE is exactly how I refer to it.. nothing productive comes from it, it does not help the personal debt crisis, it gives a false sense of security and it prolongs the problem in the long run.

$600 bucks will be easy to waste in a day.


When did the IRS run these polls?


The IRS began conducting polls before a President proposal was made. They began contracting with news papers and online marketing firms to ask the populace "what would you do if the government gave you money?" The IRS then gave an official report to Congress during the debates, and the Democrats urged the IRS to re-do the studies to see which "demography would spend more" .. Low income families, particularly urban, would waste the money in the largest amounts in the fastest time frame.


Curious because things have changed for lots of people and the economy today, with $4 gas (cost me $80 to fill up yesterday) etc is going to cause more debt for many people and the money might not be spent as they had said it would be several months ago.


Oh they know....

Politicians 3 weeks ago accosted the IRS and Federal Reserve board for not doing something sooner.. they had to explain in details that hey.. we had to draw new computer programs (the latest implemented last week) we had to send letters (original letters alone cost millions) we have to FIND people to give the money to (vets, poor, elderly, those who fell between the cracks) and we have to deliver, which cost millions in its self, not to mention another round of digital deposits ONTOP of regular tax preparation ..

This is tax time, and the Gov decided now is the best time.

Well the Gov got pissed AGAIN .. now the rebates are being called small and inefficient, not enough money to stimulate the economy "to little to late" and the IRS is being blamed for it.

The IRS is beginning rapid deposits of funds into accounts via digital deposits to get people spending more now.

The IRS has already recognized that there is a large level of fraud with people above the threshold trying to get these funds, fake returns from fake SS numbers on top of an exploited open gate as IRS agents are working on the rebates, loopholes will go unwatched in the regular tax filing..

It can only be described as chaos.

And it won't help the economy..


I don't think we'll see the bump they want and I think the fallout could make things even worse.


The governments hopes that the false sense of security will give the retail industry a significant enough bump for investors to pull out of commodities and into these companies once more, giving them the capital to expand and hire new employees.. however, as oil and food sky rocket the majority of the money wasted will now actually be spent on food.. if food has risen 15% in the last month, 15% of the rebates are likely to go towards food, and investors won't move from where they are safe.

On top of all of this, few are planning to put the money into mortgages, which we are expecting another record breaking foreclosure rate, big banks will write down more debt and the insurance agencies that insure mortgages will take another big hit.

Not to mention the original plans to give a rebate AND bail out those who cannot hold onto their house ha fallen through, 75% will now not get assistance.

As the Fed prepares for the Rate's to banks to be slashed yet again, the dollar will drop to another low, and your $600 bucks won't go as far as it could have back in February ..

The OTHER big problem is the IRS simply cannot take the work load in getting every check out at once like Congress wanted.. it was supposed to be like pouring lighter fluid into a camp fire and it would flare up.. all the money to get out will still take until July .. so its more or less like adding kindling, no big change will be seen, and the US Treasury just wasted 110 billion not including hundreds of millions in IRS over time, printing, mailing, marketing, research and so forth....

It just shows how Congress and the President are so far detatched from reality..


reply posted on 27-4-2008 @ 12:54 PM by TheRedneck
Already spent... on education. If I get back what I expect to, it'll just cover those dual-enrollment courses for my daughter's senior year in high school.

As to the debate over why it won't work, that's a moot point as far as I am concerned. It won't work, and it will drive the Federal budget further into the red. So it'll make things worse.

Face it: we've spent ourselves into oblivion. The greed of a baby-boomer era has finally taken it's toll, with everyone in a bloated population range now struggling for every last precious dollar. It's led to several bubbles, some long collapsed, some now collapsing, some yet to burst, wild out-of-control government spending, a massive sell-off of US interests to foreign investors to get that quick $, and more and more taxes and fees and tolls as the government wants their share as well.

Leaders lead, and we have followed our leaders' examples. Credit card debt is one of those balloons I mentioned, as is oil (through speculation), the housing market (through our new-found sense of entitlement), gold (as people panic and look for something 'safe'), and even food. Debt is used to buy investment, and now that the investments are beginning to deflate, who pays the debt?

Rockpuck and Crakeur, you're both right. But the only way to ease the coming storm is to withdraw as much as possible from the financial system. That's what I have done. Mortgage = $0. Car payment = $0. Credit card balance = $0. Total monthly obligations to installment credit = $0. Investment in commodities/stocks/bonds = $0. Bank deposits = minimal. Actual ownership of items which will help me survive without help, there's my 'gold'.

I'll take the cash since the US is generously giving it out. I'll use the cash. Maybe there'll be enough left over for a new TV, as this one is starting to have trouble. If not, the refund will handle that, plus a few tools I still have a need for, and maybe even finish that chicken-house. There's some economic stimulus, so maybe it's not all a useless exercise in impotency. But I will not spend above my means, nor will I engage in activities that tie me to this sinking ship. I like the life-raft I'm sitting on just fine.

See you on the other side of the iceberg.

TheRedneck


reply posted on 27-4-2008 @ 12:59 PM by grover
reply to post by TheRedneck



A very thoughtful and intelligent post... a star for you redneck.
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