Is Gasoline going to $6.00 a gallon?, page 6
Pages: <<  3    4    5    6    7  >>
ATS Members have flagged this thread 4 times


reply posted on 8-6-2008 @ 09:18 AM by rikriley
reply to post by orionthehunter



Like you said orion we are not the only country feeling the pinch when it comes to high gas prices around the world. Here is an article from The Sun News World that will shine some light on the matter of the high prices in Europe and especially Turkey. One of the biggest problems we are facing as a nation is the continual shrinking dollar when it comes to buying foreign oil. If we are going to continue using gasoline and diesel we must drill domestically especial when it comes to the shrinking dollar. Rik Riley

www.edmontonsun.com...




[edit on 8-6-2008 by rikriley]


reply posted on 8-6-2008 @ 11:13 AM by rikriley
reply to post by OBE1



Thanks for the info on oil and gold prices now and in the future. I have to lean in your direction where oil prices will head and if we get one hurricane in the gulf, a nuke goes off somewhere and Israel or the U.S. attacks Iran I believe we could see $300.00 a barrel for oil and over $15.00 a gal on gas and more for diesel. If a war starts with Iran and the U.S. and Israel and nukes are used gold could sore to $2000.00 an ounce. Rik Riley



reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 12:31 AM by TrueDelphi
reply to post by anti us gov



But in Europe, their medical needs are covered by the state. The middle income person in Europe is not waking up in the morning trying to decide if today he will eat, or have medicine, or maybe have to walk walk to work.

There are state imposed taxes on those who spend. For instance, eating in a restaurant has a surcharge. Those who can afford to eat do so, others don't. But no one suffers the indignities of our rotten health care system. Here the middle income person is paying 15 % to a social security fund he'll never get payouts from. He pays at least 18 % in fed tax. While the hedge fund manager pays only 15 %.


reply posted on 11-7-2008 @ 09:44 AM by rikriley
Originally posted by TrueDelphi
reply to
post by anti us gov



But in Europe, their medical needs are covered by the state. The middle income person in Europe is not waking up in the morning trying to decide if today he will eat, or have medicine, or maybe have to walk walk to work.

There are state imposed taxes on those who spend. For instance, eating in a restaurant has a surcharge. Those who can afford to eat do so, others don't. But no one suffers the indignities of our rotten health care system. Here the middle income person is paying 15 % to a social security fund he'll never get payouts from. He pays at least 18 % in fed tax. While the hedge fund manager pays only 15 %.



Give me one persons name that has been denied emergency or medical care in The United States of America. Name one person in The United States of America that is starving to death. How many individuals have been denied medicine in The United States of America? Is it against the law to walk or ride a bus to work?

In Europe and Canada how long do you have to wait for a appointment for a doctor and how many in Europe are denied proper health care if the state sees fit? Leave it in the hands of the state or leave in the hands of you the citizen of The United States of America.

So if we leave it in the hands of the U.S. government to control and manage the Nationalized Health Care System what do you think will happen to the money you pay in taxes for the services? Will the government dip into the money or funds like they have Social Security that was absolutely not to be touched other than for retirement benefits? How many doctors in the U.S. would retire early because of the pay cut they would take when the government pays them what they deem fair for appointments and procedures? How many doctors will move over seas and practice in countries with free enterprise and not to be government controlled what they are paid in their practice? Will there be more of a shortage of doctors and nurses if nationalized medicine passes in the U.S.? You can take it to the bank. Rik Riley


reply posted on 13-7-2008 @ 10:15 AM by rikriley
reply to post by Pinktip



You are not to far off on your oil futures calculations and there are many schools of thought on how to predict oil futures depending on world situations at the time, what expert and what day you speak with them. You are a little high on your calculations with the present trend of gas prices to the price of oil per barrel. This is what was happening back on May 6th, 2008 on fears of oil running up to $200.00 a barrel.

biz.yahoo.com...

Rik Riley



[edit on 13-7-2008 by rikriley]


reply posted on 13-7-2008 @ 04:40 PM by rikriley
reply to post by Pinktip



Hi Pinktip, I have come across some figures used by Zeal Speculation and Investment. This will better give you a better understanding about the comparison of the price of oil per barrel to the price of gasoline per gal. at the pump.

www.zealllc.com...

Rik Riley


reply posted on 13-7-2008 @ 05:07 PM by rikriley
reply to post by Dubyakadubla



The word lobbying is the key word our Congress has sold us out to the oil lobbyist. Better yet lets call the buyout firms and lobbyists snakes in the grass with suites.

Thanks for the post it gives us all a better insight of how we Americans are being sold out to the highest bidder. Rik Riley


reply posted on 13-7-2008 @ 05:23 PM by Pinktip
www.zealllc.com...




Thanks Rik!.

So according to the last chart, Gas is really lagging to Crude price. So @$147 Crude, Gas should be easily $5/gal and Diesel $6/gal

This has crazy implications for gasoline prices. If oil can consolidate near $120 like it did near $100 between November and February, then we are looking at seriously higher gasoline prices approaching. $120 oil divided by just the average OGR yields wholesale gasoline of $3.36. This is 7.7% higher than this week, a move that will be passed on to retail. This scenario would drive average retail prices near $3.90.

But it is not merely this ratio’s average that an extremely high OGR tends to revert to, but its support near 27. At $120 oil, a long-overdue OGR support approach would mean $4.44 wholesale gasoline! This is 42.3% higher than this week’s price. This would translate into a $4.99 average retail gasoline price across the United States! If today’s gasoline prices bother consumers, imagine sentiment at $5+! Ouch.

Of course oil may very well correct too, Wall Street is sweating bullets praying for such an eventuality. But since gasoline prices are so far behind crude oil, even a correction doesn’t offer much relief. Bull to date, oil’s average major correction is 21.8% over 2 months. This would take us to $97 or so, which is incidentally just about where oil’s 200-day moving average would be by then. 200dmas usually offer strong support in ongoing secular bull markets.

Anyway, at $97 oil after a major correction if the OGR still contracts to 27 support as it ought to, a barrel of crude will cost 27x as much as a gallon of wholesale gasoline. This works out to $3.59, or 15.1% higher than today’s gas prices. This would translate into $4.12 or so at the retail pumps! So probabilities favor higher gasoline prices even if oil corrects hard. And if crude oil instead continues powering higher, then all these numbers are far too conservative!

In this election year where Republican socialists compete with Democrat socialists to see who can bribe the most voters, retail gas taxes are a big issue. But even if by some miracle they are repealed, they are still largely irrelevant to this analysis. The federal gas tax is only 18.4¢ per gallon (state taxes average another 28.6¢). Percentage-wise the federal tax alone is fairly immaterial at $4 to $5 gasoline.

So we haven’t seen anything yet in terms of retail gas prices. Gasoline just has to rise until it is reasonably profitable to produce again, or else less and less will be refined. And lower supplies drive up prices. This final chart, which is what started me down this thread of research in the first place, highlights the recent low-gas-relative-to-oil anomaly. Its axes are zeroed to ensure no visual distortion of the data relationships.

Around this time last year, gasoline prices got ahead of oil on lower supplies relative to demand. This is when the refiners were enjoying the stellar $30+ per barrel crack spreads. The post-Katrina OGR low, 26.7, was actually hit a year ago this week. But such a hyper-profitable situation for gas refining couldn’t persist, as refiners rushed to distill out gasoline in order to reap the unsustainably fat profit margins.

So gasoline prices started grinding lower despite rising crude in the late spring and summer of 2007. In early September, when oil surged, gasoline remained flat. This is when it started to lag crude oil. By late February 2008, the gap between gas and crude oil grew wider. This is what drove the zero crack spread in mid-March, when the costs of producing gasoline exceeded the price it could fetch in the US markets.








[edit on 13-7-2008 by Pinktip]


reply posted on 14-7-2008 @ 06:21 PM by rikriley
reply to post by Pinktip



All good points on the correlation of gas at the pump and the price per barrel. I look for oil prices to start to decline within the next 24 months for the reason hydrogen ad on fuel cells will be available on a massive scale saving the consumer up to 40% on the gasoline bill at the pump because of increased gas mileage savings. If the democrats get in we will go back to the 55mph on the Interstate Highway System only cutting consumption of gasoline by 2%.

Many companies are selling the plans on how to build the hydrogen fuel cells and many companies are starting to manufacture them now. These hydrogen fuel cells will cost the consumer with the average ad on being with installation from $500.00 to $1200.00. Diesel conversion will cost much more but worth every penny.

We will hit spikes in gasoline and diesel prices of course when it comes to hurricanes and terrorists acts around the world. If the Cyclone engine is readied for production this will help even more because it can burn any kind of fuel you can think of and is lubricated with water, needs no radiator and you will need no transmission like being used in your car today and is powered by steam plus incredibly efficient. The new compressed air engines will most certainly make a dent as well as the new electric and hybrid cars when it comes to gasoline consumption. Look for China, Russia, and India to go to these new fuel savings devices. Rik Riley


[edit on 14-7-2008 by rikriley]



reply posted on 15-7-2008 @ 11:19 AM by cardinalfanUSA
reply to post by rikriley



I was denied medical coverage.

Two years ago I needed a colonoscopy and an endoscopy. I was informed that because I didn't have medical insurance, I would have to pay down 20% of the cost of the procedure before the surgeon would even see me. The total cost of the procedure was nearly $8,000, and I didn't have $1,600 to pay down. So, I had to wait another year until I was insured before I could have the procedure.
Pages: <<  3    4    5    6    7  >>    ^^TOP^^



The Peak Oil Lie: Oil is NOT going to run out
  Posted 9 days ago with 9 member flags
Oil\'s tipping point has passed
  Posted 12 days ago with 3 member flags
Why The US Will Never Be \'Energy Independent\'
  Posted 18 days ago with 2 member flags
Worldometers: Oil officially ends November 9 2053 ( 9/11 )
  Posted 17 days ago with 2 member flags