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13 YO Boy Claiming Apophis Collision With Earth is 1/450, Nasa Conceded With Agreement Then Disagree

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posted on Apr, 17 2008 @ 09:51 PM
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13 Year Old Boy Claiming Apophis Collision With Earth is 1/450, Nasa Conceded With Agreement


cosmos4u.blogspot.com

First the story appeared on April 4 in Germany's 'leading' tabloid ("I have calculated the end of the world ... and NASA says, I'm right"), later in more serious papers ("Nico and the end of the world") - and today, thanks apparently to an AFP story where the writer hadn't found it necessary to check anything, it has taken off around the world. Alas: it's absolute nonsense! The claim is that a 13-year old German schoolboy "discovered" - while working on an entry for a major German science competition - that the 2036 impact probability of asteroid Apophis is not 1:45,000 as the NASA calculation says but actually 100 times higher. Because during the 2029 approach the asteroid would hit a geostationary satellite and be deflected into a much more dangerous orbit. The newspapers also claimed that this boy not only was awarded several prizes for his paper but that NASA had "conceded" that he got it right and they were wrong. We're all doomed, right?

Well, here's what NASA's NEO guru Don Yeomans told this blog yesterday: "We have not corresponded with this young man and this story is absurd, a hoax or both. During its 2029 Earth close approach, Apophis will approach the Earth to about 38,900 km, well inside the geosynchronous distance at 42,240 km. However, the asteroid will cross the equatorial belt at a distance of 51,000 km - well outside the geosynchronous distance. Since the uncertainty on Apophis' position during the Earth close approach is about 1500 km, Apophis cannot approach an Earth satellite. Apophis will not cross the moon's orbital plane at the Moon's orbital distance so it cannot approach the moon either."
(visit the link for the full news article)


Related News Links:
neo.jpl.nasa.gov
www.spacedaily.com

[edit on 4/17/2008 by die_another_day]

[edit on 4/17/2008 by die_another_day]




posted on Apr, 17 2008 @ 09:51 PM
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So were more likely to die if an asteroid HITS a satellite?
I was thinking the exactly opposite; which is the assumption that an object will delfect the asteroid if the object is massive enough like the ISS. It kind of depends on which way you hit the object though.

Are we just jealous of a 13 Yeorold kid? Or... simply... what??



cosmos4u.blogspot.com
(visit the link for the full news article)



posted on Apr, 17 2008 @ 10:33 PM
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Did you not read through the entire article? The kid completely made it up and just because he talked to a NASA official said that the official concluded with him.

It says all of that clearly in the story.



posted on Apr, 17 2008 @ 10:42 PM
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NASA has the technology to deflect even the biggest of oncoming asteroids so I only worry whether they can detect the smaller ones that could sneak up on us. We could be using this technology to get to Mars in a month, the only problem being that the ignorant public don't like the idea of detonating nuclear weapons in space.




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