The Politics of Economic Depression, page 4
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ATS Members have flagged this thread 11 times


reply posted on 30-9-2008 @ 12:27 AM by xpert11
reply to post by Justin Oldham



Whether it be school kids lunches or the economy the government knows best all the time is bad news all a round . Freedom can come under threat from many differnt directions . I accept that some regulations are required in the likes of stock markets but to much or to little of something can be bad as recent events have shown .

Cheers xpert11 .



reply posted on 1-10-2008 @ 08:59 AM by donwhite
reply to post by xpert11



The only thing for certain is that a lot of people are going to lose there homes. Those who planned upon a thirty year mortgage may find the bank reminiscent on there deal and expecting the mortgage to be repaid a lot quicker .I was having dinner with a family member last night and almost lost it when I was watching a current affairs program and it was stated that banks are no longer giving loans to people who don't have documentation to prove there income .


This would apply mostly to ARM and not to FIXED mortgages. ARM - Adjustable Rate Mortgages.

The setting for disaster. First, there was a national history of 4-5-6% mortgages running back to the 1940s. We had NO knowledge of or experience with 7-8-9% home mortgages. People born post War 2 and getting ready to buy a home by the 1980s knew only low fixed rate mortgages. We had no collective memory to help us decide what to do when confronted with a way to “save” money!

I first encountered ARMs in the 1980s. Back then, ARMs were not all that bad. Back then, the ARM mortgages were sharply limited. Rate could be re-calculated only once a year. There was a limit on the amount of any single rate increase. There was a cap on the total of ARM rate increases regardless of what the market did. Today’s meltdown ARMs are recalculated as often as monthly. There are no limits on how much one can rise. It is a crap shoot!

The first ARMs were never popular. Like the old - now outlawed - “contact for deed” ARMs would appeal only to people who did not qualify for a fixed rate mortgage. The standard of the industry for a century.

Next, most people alive by 1980 had grown up in a regulated society. They did not know it, they took it for granted. Heck, who was to know one electric outlet per wall, one closet per bedroom and so on was a Federal rule? (FHA). We just assumed everything was :taken care of" as it should be. We assumed a bank would not make a loan they did not believe we could pay back. WRONG! WRONG! WRONG!

By 2000, the housing bubble was running full speed. The whole industry was in flux. Appraisers were no longer the conservative type. Only “team players” high value types were wanted! Banks wanted to MAKE IT BIG and to MAKE IT QUICK. That is NOT a bank, that is a CASINO. Lower and lower credit scores were accepted. Builders overpriced the houses but there was no one to reign them in. Real estate salespersons showed people homes they could not afford.

Gullible and dumb, Americans were RIPE FOR THE PLUCKING. It was only a matter of time. Overpriced houses, sold to over extended buyers, by over eager Realtors, to banks who used other peoples money to “buy” paper they would not have bought for themselves, and you basically have the thing called “mortgage meltdown.” As long as you make the payments required in a timely way, no one can call in your mortgage early. There is one remote caveat on that however. Should the collateral fall so the debt exceeds the collateral, then the holder can call for the borrower to make up the difference. This is what they are talking about putting a moratorium on. If you don’t actually sell your house, there is no way to accurately put a value on it.

As you can see, we are where we are because someone gave up the GOOD (and rational) regulations we enjoyed between 1933 and 1980.

[edit on 10/1/2008 by donwhite]


reply posted on 2-10-2008 @ 05:25 AM by xpert11
reply to post by Justin Oldham




The Federal Government is taking over the regulation of all consumer credit, including mortgages, mortgage broking, margin lending, payday lending, and financial counselling services.

This will be the first time lenders have faced national, rather than state-based, regulations.

The decision was made at the Council of Australian Governments (COAG) meeting today and will come into force in June 2009


Source

I haven't found any details and I probably wont have the chance to so over the next few days . Sure things are made easier in Australia by a drift towards the federal government taking over roles that use to belong to the states and the fact that Labour to my knowledge is in power at the federal level and in every state and territory expect for Western Australia.

I would expect the majority of purely idealogical Republican representatives and there supporters to oppose any much needed reforms and new regulations . I don't say such things likely because almost every has encountered a time they have run into a load bureaucratic paperwork or regulations to follow in order just to continue what they are legitimately doing .


reply posted on 2-10-2008 @ 08:14 AM by donwhite
The Good Banker’s Credo

Let no loans be made that are not secured beyond a reasonable contingency. Do nothing to encourage speculation. Give facilities only to legitimate and prudent transactions. Distribute your loans rather than concentrate them in a few hands. Large loans to a single individual or firm although sometimes proper and necessary, are generally injudicious and frequently unsafe.

Large borrowers are apt to control the bank. If you doubt the propriety of discounting an offering, give the bank the benefit of the doubt and decline it. If you have reason to distrust a customer, close his account. Never deal with a rascal under the impression you can prevent him from cheating you.

Pay your officers such salaries as will enable them to live comfortably and respectably without stealing; and require of them their entire services. If an officer lives beyond his income dismiss him even if his excess of expenditures can be explained consistently with his integrity, still dismiss him. Extravagance, if not a crime, very naturally leads to crime.

The capital of a bank should be reality, not a fiction and it should be owned by those who have money to lend and not by borrowers.

Pursue a straightforward, upright, legitimate banking business. Splendid financing is not legitimate banking and splendid financiers in banking are generally either humbugs or rascals.

A letter to ALL national banks, and signed by
H. McCulloch,
then Comptroller of the Currency
and later, Secretary of the Treasury.
December 1, 1863.


[edit on 10/2/2008 by donwhite]



reply posted on 3-10-2008 @ 02:54 PM by rightwingnut
reply to post by zysin5



There are no answers except boycott the market or die. They bear the people out to poverty, and what education they have, becomes less. This bailout is not the right move but they have less education so they won't know it. This is good for economic growth. We must understand how to get on the other side of obama and mCcain and don't be losers. Obama is to shifty and is voting bailout now or still. We should find some other market they don't know about so they understand they cannot be in control. What they have done to this market is instituted government regulation. Now we need a non-regulated market. This nation is poor and if it regulates the market when do we get to the big money??
This is why the bailout is also unethical. Poor broke people in charge of my right to earn more, I'm probably dead and don't know it.


reply posted on 5-10-2008 @ 04:14 PM by Justin Oldham
Hm. Lots to say here. Let's jump in.

Zysin's question revolves around "civics." In my lifetime, the "national interest" died during the Presidency of George H.W. bush. That's Bush41 to most people. The conspiracy theorists are not wrong to point out the Bush family's globalist agenda.

If you wanted to look at the big picture, it can be argued that "our best interest" stopped being served at the start of the 20th Century. The long slow slide to our present condition has been talked about at lenth by many, here on ATS.

Pawn's point is well taken, too. I started this thread so tha we could talk about this problem from a lot of different perspectives. The terrible truth is htat our leaders don't see what's coming as a economic downturn. They see it as an opportunity. In their minds, its not a catastrophe. It's an opportunity. A condition to be exploited, while it exists. This struggle goes beyond partisan conflict. It's not "political," as you and I think of the term. To borrow a line, "This isn't personal. It's just business."

So, whadda we do? We talk about it. We write about it. We document every dirty rotten part of it, as it is happening to us. We already know how sthis story ends. We just need to be tough enough to see our way through it.

As they exploit our economic and poliitcal pain, today's leaders will go too far. They may even break the system. When this happens, we will vote in reformer,s or we will revolt. Failing that, do a long slow burn until the country falls apart. Either way, somebody will have to step in and pick up the peices after the fact. No nation is immune to this downward spiral. Some take longer to hit bottom than others, but in the end...

I want to be clear on one last point. As citizens, we should NOT hope for failure, or revolt. These things may be cool in books and movies, but they'd suck in real life. We need to understand that whenever and however it comes, our task will be to step in an pick up the pieces. It'll e our job to remember what life what like before it all went to spit...and...it'll be our job to chart a new course in to the future.


reply posted on 12-10-2008 @ 10:33 PM by donwhite
reply to post by Justin Oldham



In my lifetime, the "national interest" died during the Presidency of George H.W. Bush. That's Bush41 to most people. The conspiracy theorists are not wrong to point out the Bush family's globalist agenda. Pawn's point is well taken, too. I started this thread so that we could talk about this problem from a lot of different perspectives.

This struggle goes beyond partisan conflict. It's not "political," as you and I think of the term. To borrow a line, "This isn't personal. It's just business." We already know how this story ends. We just need to be tough enough to see our way through it.

Either way, somebody will have to step in and pick up the pieces after the fact. No nation is immune to this downward spiral. Some take longer to hit bottom than others, but in the end...

I want to be clear on one last point. We need to understand that whenever and however it comes, our task will be to step in an pick up the pieces. It'll be our job to remember what life what like before it all went to spit ...and ...it'll be our job to chart a new course in to the future.


Let’s suppose we re-run the 1929-1932 scenario. Between 25% and 40% of the workers were out of a job. Not necessarily all at the same time. 80% of thrifty people had seen their life’s savings lost when their local bank went broke. Dozens had jumped to their death from high rise buildings in NYC. The present was bleak and the future looked worse.

About 60,000 veterans of World War 1 - out of 3 million who served - marched on Washington to ask Congress to pay early the bonus they had been promised. Between 10,000 and 15,000 camped on The Mall in makeshift shelters. The President ordered the Army to break up the congregating veterans and to expel or remove them from the District of Columbia. The Army used bayonets and tear gas to force the veterans to flee the city then burned the property they left behind. So much for the much vaunted First Amendment guarantees of “peaceable assembly” and “petition for redress of grievances.”

Fifteen million African Americans were held in “involuntary servitude” primarily in the Deep South, the 11 states of the Old Confederacy. Jim Crow. Jews and Catholics were barred from many private clubs. Police north and south, administered extra legal summary punishment according to their own code and standards. And abused persons had no recourse.

I’ve recited a small number of the actions taken against the poorest of our society, yet even under such dire circumstance, no one revolted. I think the reason for that was this: those people still believed in the basic honesty and decency of the American system. And they had faith they would see better days. All of which is to say, it will have to get very bad before we see uprisings.

[edit on 10/13/2008 by donwhite]
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