reply to post by Muppetus Galacticus
The Argentine economy is improving (especially compared to what it was at the beginning of the decade), with a growth rate of 8.5% last year... but
this is unsustainable, and is bound to slow over the next few years. Inflation is also a problem (as it was back in 1982). Still, there are problems
as this latest dispute with the farmers shows. As the Yahoo article says and Infinite suggests, it seems successive Argentine governments bring this
issue up every time they get into trouble.
As for their navy, you can find some info on it
here. They no longer have an aircraft carrier
but it's still formidable. Bear in mind, however, that the only major naval engagement in the Falklands War was when the Belgrano was sunk by a
British submarine. Of course, Britain is about to get new submarines, destroyers and aircraft carriers.
Where Argentina falls down is their air cover... most of their aircraft are from the 1960s and 1970s whereas the UK is bringing in the new Typhoons
and will (hopefully) have F-35s by the middle of the next decade. These are far more advanced than anything Argentina can put into the air. Also,
let's not forget that there's an RAF base on the islands now (which wasn't there in 1982) and a garrison of troops. The Royal Navy also has a
couple of vessels on patrol down there permanently, and it's likely there's a submarine or two as well. In short, I suspect it would be very
difficult to mount a second invasion of the islands... and I don't think any Argentine government would risk it.