posted on Feb, 24 2004 @ 07:58 AM
The rising military tensions in and around Taiwan - and recent Chinese military exercises to intimidate Taiwan independence forces - have not been
widely reported, but there is no doubt that the arms race is heating up on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Western military analysts see enormous and
growing danger of military pressure from China, if not direct coercion, even conflict, in the strait.
This really could be the straw that broke the camels back.
China would attack if sufficiently provoked
First, many Chinese think the United States will not fight wars that involve high casualties to its forces. Therefore the issue is how many casualties
China must suffer to occupy the island, not whether an invasion is a sensible policy.