posted on Mar, 29 2008 @ 07:56 AM
Attack now would be most suicidal.
I believe to attack all this month, but situation in Iraq is tight, and there is great problems rising with Militia Forces, who also needs funds and
training for effective war against occupiers. If US is really pushing their buttons against Iran, they soon would get fully armed, and with trained
officers regrouped military forces to their faces in Iraq.
If Al-Sadr keeps it campaign going, and wider that to all parts of Iraq, I see that there is no chance to US attack to Iran. Ball is in his hands.
I see many reasons why US will to attack Iran, and I see many reasons why Russia will be the greatest opposition against it.
USA reasons to attack: New Iran Oil Bourse, Israel pressure, Shiia Co-ops, Hezbolah co-ops, Hamas co-ops, Alliance with Syria, Geological position in
Russia & China reasons to defence: Great business deals, Oil co-ops, Caspian See Treaty, Shanghai Co-ops with China, Arm Deals, Syrian deals, New Oil
Bourse, geopolitical reasons.
Why is good to attack now: Bush in office last year, Forces ready and trained, Impact of oil bourse in beginning, Israel waits, Pakistan still ally
but maybe not long, Afghanistan keeps a little break, Iraq problems growing but not great now, Nobody expect that now, weather is now good for war,
President is now changing in Russia.
Why is bad attack now: Russia and China will defend them, Oil price will jump sky rocket, no public co-ops, Caspian Treaty protect them, Putin is
still in power in Russia, Iran will arm militias and regroup army of Iraq, Land to Sea missiles what Iran will use, Syria activity and protect their
ally, Terror and riots all around the world against US interests, Impact to value of dollar...
Its like 50-50 situation in my eyes.