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Neoconservatives and hardline nationalists in the US wanted to invade Iraq for three reasons - it was an established bogeyman in US minds, it would be an easy target, and it would provide a potential base from which the US could permanently dominate the Gulf region and, if need be, deny oil to China.
In sum, the US invasion was not driven by Middle East considerations at all - it had more to do with the emergence of China.
Hmmm, not sure what to think about this theory?