posted on Mar, 21 2008 @ 05:01 PM
Economic, maybe not. But strategic?
Think about it. China has too much land mass and too many people to easily defeat in a one-on-one military conflict. But what if China had weak
points, cracks in its glass so-to-speak, that could be struck with very little force and cause the whole nation to fall apart?
Tibet and Taiwan could be those cracks. If those two provinces began actively fighting for independence, the whole of China would be sucked into its
own civil war. Its rise to power would come to a grinding halt in that case, and when China emerged, whether it was in one piece or not, it would be
in no place to compete with the U.S. for decades to come.
If this civil war lasted only a few weeks or months, with Tibet and Taiwan being quickly beat into submission, that result couldn't be achieved. But
if those two provinces were receiving intelligence, satellite data, money, and weapons from the U.S. then they might last long enough to wear China's
I'm not saying they could win, I think they'd probably lose the conflict in the end without direct U.S. intervention, but subduing China might be
the U.S.'s ultimate goal and not the independence of China's provinces.
After all, many people feel that the reason the U.S. couldn't take on China right now is because America is already bogged down overseas. What better
way to even the odds than by bogging down China's forces with a civil war on their own territory?
I'll go even further on this theory. I think there might even be a similar approach being taken in regards to Russia's re-emergence as a major
power. The events in Kosovo look like an open attempt to draw Russia into war to many people. Maybe it is? The U.S. could back Kosovo to the point
that Serbia had to call Russia in for help, then pull out as Russia moved in. Then Russia would be left in the middle of its war-torn ally's country
with the task of fighting an insurgency in Kosovo while rebuilding a nation... sound familiar?
If I'm right, and this is the U.S.'s plan, then it'll be interesting to see how our two "emerging superpowers" will fare when being sucked into
conflicts on the same scale that the U.S. has been dealing with lately.