Originally posted by Harlequin
fred raised the point on oil supplies - but its the price that really would cripple the us warmachine , which is right of course , how would the us
pay for oil when its 3x the price now?
Well the massive increase in foreign demand for dollars will allow the US to do far more deficit spending and the current high oil prices are in the
main due to the fact that the US regime is employing every and oil strategies to create artificial demands for Greenbacks...
opening a war on 2 fronts:
you raise a good point actually :
Something that is not commonly admitted so i suppose i should thank you for your honesty.
whilst that might be true - in the case of afghanistan/iraq - the meer presecence of counter forces is affecting the balance - and thats the
crux of the way the war is being fought against the US
Absolutely but the Germans ( and Napoleon in his day) were occupying France, the low countries, Norway, much of central Europe as well as Eastern
Europe. The thing is the US could occupy Iraq with far less physical equipment if it's willing to accept higher casualties that foot and unarmored
patrol tends to result in.
Entropy based warfare;
Entropy based warfare is based on three factors: Lethality, Disruption, and Friction.
Lethality is the effect of damaging attacks on the enemy.
Disruption is anything that decreases the combat effectiveness of the enemy.
Friction is anything that causes the opponent to use up his own resources and not cause damage (or to damage himself), or the inability of the enemy
to recover from a given tactic.
I can go along with that.
now whilst the `opposition` might not be aware of the war they are fighting , the effects are the same , road-side bombs for lethaility ,
sporadicness and not consitance for disruption and the rapid errosion of the US warmachines fighting ability - look at the outcry over the increased
cossts , the failing aircraft and broken down vehicles.
But the thing is you hardly need vehicles if you do a proper occupation where only GPS indentifiers prevents any moving car/truck from being blown to
bits. If the enemy can't move very fast you don't have to either. The Germans managed to occuppy all those countries because you can in essence use
second rate ( older, less able and even infirm) troops with formerly warehoused equipment to fight the sporadic running battles. Obviously you will
have a few heliborne or paratroop type rabid response forces to bail out garrisons or encircle any larger scale formations but these need hardly be a
noticable strain on a first rate industrialized army.
i honestly think that the US war machine would be broken down before the expedition to iraq is over.
There is some links ( and info lifted from a prior post of mine) about equipment attrition in here somewhere but i don't want to work trough all of
them ATM. If you care to you should find some good numbers for around mid 2007...
www.washingtonpost.com...
www.slate.com...
www.atimes.com...
www.opportunity08.org/Files/FD.ashx?guid=8a57c0a1-820d-4b52-bfff-cfd22b6f949a
Sour
ce
www.americanprogress.org...
www.americanprogress.org...
www.msnbc.msn.com...
www.heritage.org...
The following shows the strain the men are under and what sort of effect this is having on homeland security and the capacity of the US to fight
another war this decade.
www.strategypage.com...
observer.guardian.co.uk...
www.washingtonpost.com...
Source
sorry gone off topic
I think we are very much on topic and while i have seen the actual equipment losses in numbers as well as tens of thousands of wounded it just wont be
a problem if the US public can be convinced ( and if it's obvious i feel sorry for the targetted country) that the threat is real. A few staged nukes
will more than do the trick if China continues to play dead and the US leaders feels that they are losing their capabilies too fast.
So in closing i am very much a critic of imperialism and despite the fact that i believe that i understand some of the flaws in the US war machine i
am by no means ignorant enough of history, or stupid enough in general, to think that the USA will simply be overmatched if it can gain public support
for a long and extended war. I simply don't buy into the notion that the American people , or any other, are incapable of fighting ( due to decadence
or some such other absolute nonsense) and dying by the millions if external threats are either obvious or engaged in a aggressive war against US
citizens elsewhere. The fact that it has near 300 million people and a few million more than would happily risk their lives for citizenship ( mass
graves in Iraq filled with US style uniformed men?) means that no country in a century has , or will soon again , declared war on the US without
massive provocation ( Japan,Germany last time round) or any real choice.
Stellar