How would a war with China be fought?, page 3
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reply posted on 14-3-2008 @ 06:48 AM by chinawhite
Discussed somewhat in this thread
www.abovetopsecret.com...

Originally posted by FredT
I know we hear endlessly about the counters, invincible weapons and tactics that the PLAAF and PLAN are going to use to sink every carrier the US has


Or those Super Dooper AEGIS systems which apparently can stop anything including the kitchen sink.

but a US carrier task force was designed to go up in the Berrings and play games with the Soviets at the height of thier power



Doesn't mean they would have achieved those goals. More than 100 nuclear missiles on Mach 4 Anti-ship missiles from every direction. The US tactics were to wipe out Soviet Boomer pens before they were able to launch their missiles in a First/Second wave missile attack. A suicide attempt

Oh, The US had it easy with the Soviet missiles in those days, Big, Hot and Fast. New generation missiles have much smaller RCS and skip on the water, impossible to detect at long ranges.


Just like those cold war fairy tales about USN subs pinging the whole Soviet Navy. How much times again is it when the the US was unable to find the Swedish sub?. Lots of rambling propaganda from the USN and their mighty ASW capabilities with no substance

the Aegis system has shown a high degree of reliability in intercepts, and the PAC-3 is already in place.


LOL,

Intercepting short range low tech SCUD missiles which were detected even before they were launched. They are treater missiles designed to shoot down the missiles during the launch phase when they have not reached their altitude.Proven, NO. Just like the mighty M1 tanks destroying lots of crew less 40 year old T-55 and calling the M1 a "proven" combat tank.

The large amount of water it holds back would cause a huge destruction of airable land in the even to failure or its destruction.


Immediate NUCLEAR retaliation


reply posted on 14-3-2008 @ 07:26 AM by Harlequin
reply to post by chinawhite



and by that note the chinese army is a gloryfied target practise.


`hey bud lets go to that new range - called china , shoot up some red chickens and be home for beer and bbq`


reply posted on 14-3-2008 @ 07:36 AM by BlackWidow23
Chinawhite -

The USN is not invincible. However I believe it is a lot harder to kill than you have made it out to be.

First of all, there would be a mutiny well before the commander of a CVBG put his ships anywhere near a position in which he would face 400 mythical mach 4 missiles. Come on, give the americans a bit more credit than that, were not idiots.

Secondly, even if a CVBG were to get into a position where it was in range of cruise missiles, they would not come from all sides.

Thirdly, the SM-3 IS a proven system against seperating, sophisticated BMs launched and detected at times and places not exactly known by the ship that intercepts them. The same would be true for Chinese missiles, but its not that hard to figure out the general angle of launch. THAT WAY. from CHINA. It's in every way a better ABM system than PATRIOT will ever be. And it has a range upwards of 300 miles.

Fourthly, I while I do not doubt the vast quantity of missiles China has I do doubt that China has quantity AND quality. I don't know exactly where you are getting this idea of wave after wave of massed, hyper super mach 12 evading sea skimming supercavitating missiles that have a new capability where they can drop cows in front of them to stop interceptant missiles. Are you referring to the KH-41? So what if it can evade at 10G, the ESSM can track and hit things turning significantly harder than that.

Fifthly, the USN organizes its CVBGs to have overlapping fields of fire. Its not like there would only be one missile intercepting each cruise missile. Add more than one CVBG to the equasion and I believe it would create a fairly comprehensive missile shield against BMs and good protection against the few cruise missiles china manages to get up and over taiwan.


reply posted on 14-3-2008 @ 07:49 AM by Harlequin
reply to post by StellarX



fred raised the point on oil supplies - but its the price that really would cripple the us warmachine , which is right of course , how would the us pay for oil when its 3x the price now?


opening a war on 2 fronts:

you raise a good point actually :

You do open two front wars if you can't 'close' the first front but can prevent the enemy from affecting the strategic balance any time soon as was the case for Britain


whilst that might be true - in the case of afghanistan/iraq - the meer presecence of counter forces is affecting the balance - and thats the crux of the way the war is being fought against the US

Entropy based warfare;

Entropy based warfare is based on three factors: Lethality, Disruption, and Friction.
Lethality is the effect of damaging attacks on the enemy.
Disruption is anything that decreases the combat effectiveness of the enemy.
Friction is anything that causes the opponent to use up his own resources and not cause damage (or to damage himself), or the inability of the enemy to recover from a given tactic.


now whilst the `opposition` might not be aware of the war they are fighting , the effects are the same , road-side bombs for lethaility , sporadicness and not consitance for disruption and the rapid errosion of the US warmachines fighting ability - look at the outcry over the increased cossts , the failing aircraft and broken down vehicles.

i honestly think that the US war machine would be broken down before the expedition to iraq is over.


sorry gone off topic


reply posted on 14-3-2008 @ 08:11 AM by BO XIAN
Originally posted by guppy
Check out China's Preemptive Strike Strategy circling in their military

a.k.a. Dragon's Lair

www.navytimes.com...
This is China's anti-U.S. sucker punch strategy.
It's designed to strike America's military suddenly, stunning and stalling the Air Force more than any other service. In a script written by Chinese military officers and defense analysts, a bruised U.S. military, beholden to a sheepish American public, puts up a small fight before slinking off to avoid full-on war.



Plenty plausible.

China would be willing to lose many 100's of millions of it's citizens to establish a Chinese controled globe. They see this as THEIR RIGHT--THEIR TURN. They expect to make this the chinese century and many speak of THE CHINESE MILLENIUM.

They expect to take over Australia and such other spheres as suit them while establishing more or less effective empire control over the rest of the planet.

They do not really care if they are top dogs on a heap of ruins initially. They figure they have the manpower to survive in a top position. Coupled with our advanced technologies and the robustness of their new capitalism . . . they figure that the 'superior' Chinese Culture will certainly be tops.

Part of it is ethnic pride and part of it is arrogance and pride of long arrogant Communist leadership mentalities.

Nevertheless, many millions will die on all sides because of that pride.

And that doesn't even get into the NWO aspects of it all.

Of course, thankfully, God has His plans that will . . . adjust . . . the Chinese plans wholesale. But not before great amounts of blood have been shed, if my guesses are near right.

BTW, check out Dimitru Duduman's dreams and visions. I think his grandson has the site.

www.whatsaiththescripture.com...

He had some very specific and vivid dreams and visions about China's attack on the USA.



reply posted on 14-3-2008 @ 08:28 AM by Harlequin
reply to post by BlackWidow23



the whole problem with keeping your ships out of harms way is effective range of your combat aircraft - Yahkont has a range of at least 250 km`s and thats the entire way at wave skimming height , throw in a hi-hi-lo profile and you can add at least another 100 km`s to that , so were at 350 km`s at least - your now really imprinting on combat aircrafts ability to drop ordnanace , as thats at least 700 km`s there and back (around 450 miles) , the airforce won`t put tankers in harms way to refuel the navy without a heavy escort , and the nearest useable bases would be diego garcia in teh indian ocean and guam - both of which arn`t exactly close.


reply posted on 14-3-2008 @ 09:49 AM by StellarX
Originally posted by Harlequin
fred raised the point on oil supplies - but its the price that really would cripple the us warmachine , which is right of course , how would the us pay for oil when its 3x the price now?


Well the massive increase in foreign demand for dollars will allow the US to do far more deficit spending and the current high oil prices are in the main due to the fact that the US regime is employing every and oil strategies to create artificial demands for Greenbacks...

opening a war on 2 fronts:

you raise a good point actually :


Something that is not commonly admitted so i suppose i should thank you for your honesty.


whilst that might be true - in the case of afghanistan/iraq - the meer presecence of counter forces is affecting the balance - and thats the crux of the way the war is being fought against the US


Absolutely but the Germans ( and Napoleon in his day) were occupying France, the low countries, Norway, much of central Europe as well as Eastern Europe. The thing is the US could occupy Iraq with far less physical equipment if it's willing to accept higher casualties that foot and unarmored patrol tends to result in.

Entropy based warfare;

Entropy based warfare is based on three factors: Lethality, Disruption, and Friction.
Lethality is the effect of damaging attacks on the enemy.
Disruption is anything that decreases the combat effectiveness of the enemy.
Friction is anything that causes the opponent to use up his own resources and not cause damage (or to damage himself), or the inability of the enemy to recover from a given tactic.


I can go along with that.

now whilst the `opposition` might not be aware of the war they are fighting , the effects are the same , road-side bombs for lethaility , sporadicness and not consitance for disruption and the rapid errosion of the US warmachines fighting ability - look at the outcry over the increased cossts , the failing aircraft and broken down vehicles.


But the thing is you hardly need vehicles if you do a proper occupation where only GPS indentifiers prevents any moving car/truck from being blown to bits. If the enemy can't move very fast you don't have to either. The Germans managed to occuppy all those countries because you can in essence use second rate ( older, less able and even infirm) troops with formerly warehoused equipment to fight the sporadic running battles. Obviously you will have a few heliborne or paratroop type rabid response forces to bail out garrisons or encircle any larger scale formations but these need hardly be a noticable strain on a first rate industrialized army.

i honestly think that the US war machine would be broken down before the expedition to iraq is over.


There is some links ( and info lifted from a prior post of mine) about equipment attrition in here somewhere but i don't want to work trough all of them ATM. If you care to you should find some good numbers for around mid 2007...

www.washingtonpost.com...

www.slate.com...

www.atimes.com...

www.opportunity08.org/Files/FD.ashx?guid=8a57c0a1-820d-4b52-bfff-cfd22b6f949a

Sour ce

www.americanprogress.org...

www.americanprogress.org...

www.msnbc.msn.com...

www.heritage.org...

The following shows the strain the men are under and what sort of effect this is having on homeland security and the capacity of the US to fight another war this decade.

www.strategypage.com...

observer.guardian.co.uk...

www.washingtonpost.com...

Source



sorry gone off topic


I think we are very much on topic and while i have seen the actual equipment losses in numbers as well as tens of thousands of wounded it just wont be a problem if the US public can be convinced ( and if it's obvious i feel sorry for the targetted country) that the threat is real. A few staged nukes will more than do the trick if China continues to play dead and the US leaders feels that they are losing their capabilies too fast.

So in closing i am very much a critic of imperialism and despite the fact that i believe that i understand some of the flaws in the US war machine i am by no means ignorant enough of history, or stupid enough in general, to think that the USA will simply be overmatched if it can gain public support for a long and extended war. I simply don't buy into the notion that the American people , or any other, are incapable of fighting ( due to decadence or some such other absolute nonsense) and dying by the millions if external threats are either obvious or engaged in a aggressive war against US citizens elsewhere. The fact that it has near 300 million people and a few million more than would happily risk their lives for citizenship ( mass graves in Iraq filled with US style uniformed men?) means that no country in a century has , or will soon again , declared war on the US without massive provocation ( Japan,Germany last time round) or any real choice.

Stellar
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