Trying to time the market, unless your a hedge fund manager, ensures you lose over the long term. Otherwise, your "unloading" will result in selling
LOW and buying HIGH.
Originally posted by pacificwind
reply to post by alphabetaone
As I suspected, a post doing the opposite is met with utter contempt and insults. Just goes to show you the consistency of some (not all) of the posters![]()
Economists in the latest Wall Street Journal forecasting survey are increasingly certain the U.S. has slid into recession, a view reinforced by new data showing a sharp drop in retail sales last month.
"The evidence is now beyond a reasonable doubt," said Scott Anderson of Wells Fargo & Co.
Thirty-six of 51 respondents, or more than 70%, said in a survey conducted March 7-11 that the economy is in recession.
The Commerce Department said yesterday that retail sales fell 0.6% in February; sales excluding the volatile auto and auto-parts categories fell 0.2%. The declines reflect a sharp slowdown in consumer spending, which accounts for more than 70% of U.S. economic activity, as Americans grapple with high gasoline and food costs and declines in home values and other asset prices.
Originally posted by pacificwind
reply to post by 2ciewan
My opinion is that its a sign that a recession is coming, in order to compensate for the real estate and credit bubble. This is a required part of the business cycle. No, I do not see a need to run for the hills.
So please don't stop -
everyone, sell everything and run to gold/silver and oil! I certainly do not want the truth to get involved with emotional investors, as then I
wouldn't be able to profit as much off them. Originally posted by pacificwind
reply to post by mybigunit
No, a recession is not here by definition. We can argue this all day, but until and unless there are two successive quarters of negative GDP, there is not a recession. After one quarter of negative GDP, I would feel more confident that a recession is here. After two, I would say a recession is in fact here. I am not going to change how recession has always been defined to make it fit my worldview - which is what everyone who so desperately wants a recession is doing.
As I said though, don't get me wrong. I am quite happy there are you doom and gloom oracles out and about. It causes average investors to sell off because they don't know what they are doing and are listening to media hype. When they SELL LOW, BUY HIGH, I profitSo please don't stop - everyone, sell everything and run to gold/silver and oil! I certainly do not want the truth to get involved with emotional investors, as then I wouldn't be able to profit as much off them.
[edit on 15-3-2008 by pacificwind]
Originally posted by pacificwind
reply to post by mybigunit
I'm glad you agree with the mass media the the end is nigh/we're all going to die/run for the hills. I hope that bunker your building keeps you safe from the recession.![]()
If you sell before it crashes, good, you made money off the doom and gloom oracles. If not, then you screwed yourself.
