Originally posted by WestPoint23
China would not dare expand any potential conflict to include ballistic missile launches on Japanese territory, US bases and US
territories.

Wouldn't dare?
So Chinese facilities and aircraft will be targeted and China wouldn't dare attack Kadena?. I am sure they wouldn't dare to attack US ships as well.
I am sure they wouldn't dare attack US fighters shooting missiles at them. The Iraqis wouldn't dare invading Kuwait, The Chinese wouldn't dare
enter the Korean war. There is no difference between a aircraft carrier or a US territory, they are all considered "sovereign US territory". They
even have their own "no-go zone" just like a mini-nation state.
If the US entered ANY conflict involving China and Taiwan then they will use any force available to fight the Americans, especially if any US aircraft
or naval vessel enters the conflict, you can kiss the Kadena good bye. That means the small area (which BTW can only hold about 100 or so aircraft) of
Kadena Airbase will be one of the heaviest targets of the war. To suggest that it would some how be left to operate untouched is ridiculous.

However it does give an indication and it has shown to be effective in preparing the people involved for combat as they seem to do better after
having done the course.

It gives a indication of how Western forces will fight against western forces but apart from that I don't see how they will prepare themselves
against air forces of different nations, especially against nations which have had profound changes to their doctrines and tactics. Textbook
situations are also played out, Force A attacks force B protecting a radar station. What about Force A returning to base and runs into a group of
unknown enemy fighters etc. Just to show that even the best air exercises are staged which does not give a good indication of how a real unknown enemy
will react.
Cope India is a good example of what the US will face when they use different tactics than what the US expects, but also staged by telling them the
amount of aircraft on either side and having time to plan the method of attack since they already knew the specifications of each aircraft.

It shows that the F-15 is significantly inferior to the F-22 when it comes to performance under a constant and equal environment.

I focus on the words "constant" and "equal". Under the current purchasing plan, the US will only get 183 Raptors which means that in most
conflicts they will be outnumbered by their enemy.

Umm… right, expert pilots, latest 4th Gen US aircraft, double digit SAM's, Jamming/EW, AWACS, essentially unlimited number of fighters
(regeneration), no restriction on parameters and tactics for the OPFOR, latest USN fighters and AEGIS ships. Yup, only a pony show indeed, with only
"conventional" forces as our likely opponents will far surpass those above mentioned systems and capabilties.

So you named all the conventional tools the US has. Big deal. How about the F-15/F-18 dont use their radars, rely on multiple AWACS, fly close to the
ground and shaped apart. Why do they continually use similar tactics to the ones where they would use against non-stealth aircraft. Why cant the AESA
radar even find a F-22 at the supposedly 2km or so the away the F-22 is getting visual kills. I am absolutely positive the US has Passive radars like
the VERA-E system they brought, why aren't they used.
I wrote this before during another discussion about F-22s single handedly winning the air war in Taiwan, it was posted before or a little after the US
started producing F-22 fighters so the numbers are a little outdated.
The YLC-20 passive system which is much like the VERA-E system which the US was very worried about any tried to buy out the company so the technology
wouldn't fall to potential enemies.

The other system that can be used is a long-wave radar which is much harder to scatter than millimetric radar currently being used. These older type
radars were discontinued because the newer radars provided more accuracy than the older long-wave types. But these can be used to find the general
location of stealth aircraft so they could be intercepted or alert fighters in the air of a potentional enemy. Then there are new generation radars
which utilize different designs compared to the average Monostatic radar which has the reciever and transmitter in roughly the same location, these
new radars seperated their transmitter and receiver at longer differences, Bistatic radar and the Passive radars which is are called multistatic. I
cant really explain the in depth details but these articles give a brief description. These can be used and will be used to detect stealth aircraft
Multistatic
Bistatic
Here is a possible scenario, this is assuming that the US has a chance to deploy the F-22 at any bases close to the Chinese border. There has been
talk of the F-22 coming all the way from alaska and Guam but i assume this is some ridiculous assumption that the US is capable of anything. But
anyhow, the PLAAF will always have superior number of fighters compared to the amount of F-22s deployed.
*Currently the PLAAF has .
100+ J-10s
300 J-8IIs (F/H variants are in the minority)
76 Su-30
76 Su-27SK/UBK
24 Su-30MK2
90-100+ J-11/A/B.
The Current F-22 force is about a few SQN of about 50 planes, these figures might be +/- but i dont keep tags on the USAF as oftend as i do with the
PLAAF. But lets assume all those F-22s can be stationed on Kadena Air Base on okinawa to replace the F-15s currently stationed there. The F-22 will
still be out-number by a fair ratio.
Now here is a situation, 20 F-22s managed to get up and are engaged by about 100 or so Chinese fighters from a number of airbases near Taiwan. The
numbers are about 25 J-10s, 25 Su-27/30, 10 J-8II and about 40 J-7E/G and a random amount of monkey fighters which are basically J-5/6/7 drones to
confuse the F-22 fighters while assuming that the US air force is here to gain air superiority as you claimed. The F-22 will be closing in to their
NEZ of the Aim-120C which is about 2/3 or 1/3 of the Maximum range of their missiles. When they fire they will probably assume the most dangerous
posture which is the closet fighter objects in the sky which are the drones in the air, they will need to wait and paint the fighters until the active
seekers on the Aim-120 activate at 40km asumming that they dont have a NEZ as well. But this time, the 20 F-22s will be within 40km of the 100 or so
fighters which had no been engaged traveling at about 800-900km a hour until they are 20 km towards the F-22s and then use after-burner to get there
quicker.
900km/h is about 15 kilometers a minute.
1500km/h is about 25 kilometers a minute.
So that is roughly 2 minutes towards engagement at visual range. The F-22 can then be engaged by a number of methods, the F-22 can be painted about
10-20km by conventional fighters frontally which means they will be less from the side or even the back if the fighters do a aerial pincer movement.
Short range heat-seekers while dogfighting against a ratio of 1:5. They could even be located earlier by the OLS-31E on the Su-27/30 and will be in
visual sight so a cannon kill could even be possible.
This senario will only be possible if the PLAAF is datalinked to a AWACS aircraft which is getting feeds from ground based radar which i think the
PLAAF has already developed somewhat.
EDIT: ALL new PLAAF aircraft and older ones have received data links which can be seen on the glass cockpits. They are either linked to ground or
airbased AWACS aircraft or the Su-30MK2 with the M-400 pod which acts like a mini-AWACS

you are contradicting yourself. I can't mention the SM-3 an operational missile with proven capability and published test result. However you
can "bet" on speculative programs which the Russians, Chinese and European must surely have that will render the F-22 completely useless?

Where did I say "will render the F-22 completely useless"?. I never made that statement and you have made your own assumption.
Where have I contradicted myself?
How is the quote "You can bet the Russians, Europeans and Chinese themselves are working on anti-stealth technology" the same as claiming the the
SM-3 having this technology. And the existing technology I am talking about are the ones below. The Swedish AASR, Russian S-400M, British at
Farnborough with the rapier. ITS NOT SPECULATION
www.military.com...
www.ausairpower.net...
www.aeronautics.ru...
I also have a CCTV SC showing the YLC-20 at work

The first Raptors on the scene would be those which are based in Alaska and Hawaii. They could depart within 24 hours and fly via tanker
support non stop first to Japan and Guam before heading to Kadena

I love this quote you made before
"In the end even if China manages to magically launch every single military aircraft it posses at once, after it has instantly transported and housed
them at forward bases near Taiwan"
They would need alot of tankers to support that operation. Have the US ever done any like this before with such a long ferry range with 40 or so
fighters?. Does any of the airbases you propose have F-22 facilities or maintenance support or maintain 40 F-22s and the other fleet of aircraft you
propose will be stationed there?. Where are the support aircraft?, where are the munitions, where is the fuel?. In theory everything is possible, but
like that old saying communism worked in theory as well. Thats why I haven't put any numbers or ridiculous claims about numbers deployed and
obviously china has BETTER logistics than the Americans
[edit on 4-3-2008 by chinawhite]