posted on Feb, 6 2008 @ 04:17 PM
I'm not a scientist; but, even the scientists seem to differ on what size constitutes a threat. Personally, I look at 365m and up, based on a new
theory that Tungalooska (spelling?) might have been "as small as" 365 meters.
I suspect scientists take other facters into consideration, such as the material composition of the asteroid and such.
One thing they do take into consideration, which I don't understand enough to explain well here - is how the asteroid moves. Some roll, tumble,
weave like a player in a dodge ball game and such. Some have erratic movement and motion, others don't.
Another thing they take into consideration is the gravitational pulls from other space objects (other asteroids, comets, moons and planets etc.) and
those minute changes make a large difference over a long distance.
An analogy I use for myself is that if you mitre a wood edge for a 1:12 dollhouse, any flaws (1/1000th inch) you make can be disasterous ... though,
comparing the same exact size of flaw in a full-sized (not miniature) piece of woodwork the same flaw is so neglible as to be unnoticeable. Skip my
own personal analogy if it just confuses you more though.