Originally posted by mungodave
Here's the Addy to the NASA page showing the trajectory
ssd.jpl.nasa.gov...
Mungo
According to this trajectory model the Asteroid:Tu 24 is at 0.0503 au from Earth today on 1/20/08 as I write this.
The asteroid will come into closest proximity to Earth on 1/29/08 when it will be at just 0.0045 au.
1 AU (Astronomical Unit based on the distance from Earth to the Sun)
Wiki: Astronomical Unit
The currently accepted value of the AU is 149,597,870,691 ± 30 metres (nearly 150 million kilometres or 93 million miles).
So by my calculations of:
0.0045x93000000 = 418500 miles close on 1/29/08
Meanwhile the moon is at about 0.0025 au close to us. So at closest the asteroid will be about twice the distance to the moon.
That makes me think of another horrible scenario however!
WHAT IF THE ASTEROID STRIKES THE MOON!?
We have always worried about an asteroid hitting the Earth. But a collision with the moon would cause a shotgun type effect and send millions of rocks
headed our way for years. If the moon was knocked off orbit or destroyed the Earth would be in catastrophe.
Can the Earth Function without the moon? Without tides on Earth, what would be the effects?
I have also read from searching TU24 on google that thier are YOUTUBE videos and other discussion forums worried about TU24 out there.
[edit on (1/20/08) by AllSeeingI]