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Originally posted by pyrytyes
Do not be surprised if a nuclear explosion occurs in the suspected area of the Al Q. hide-out. A small tactical nuke to sterilize about 500 sq.mi. should do it, I would think.
Pakistan's nuclear weapons are not thought to be "one-point safe" or equipped with permissive action links (PALs)
It should be noted that Pakistan turned down the offer of PALS technology, a sophisticated "weapon release" program which initiates use via specific checks and balances as it feared the secret implanting of "dead switches". 
The Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) estimates that Pakistan has built 24-48 HEU-based nuclear warheads, and Carnegie reports that they have produced 585-800 kg of HEU, enough for 30-55 weapons. Pakistan's nuclear warheads are based on an implosion design that uses a solid core of highly enriched uranium and requires an estimated 15-20 kg of material per warhead. According to Carnegie, Pakistan has also produced a small but unknown quantity of weapons grade plutonium, which is sufficient for an estimated 3-5 nuclear weapons.
Pakistani authorities claim that their nuclear weapons are not assembled. They maintain that the fissile cores are stored separately from the non-nuclear explosives packages, and that the warheads are stored separately from the delivery systems. In a 2001 report, the Defense Department contends that "Islamabad's nuclear weapons are probably stored in component form" and that "Pakistan probably could assemble the weapons fairly quickly." However, no one has been able to ascertain the validity of Pakistan's assurances about their nuclear weapons security.
Pakistan's reliance primarily on HEU makes its fissile materials particularly vulnerable to diversion. HEU can be used in a relatively simple gun-barrel-type design, which could be within the means of non-state actors that intend to assemble a crude nuclear weapon.
The terrorist attacks on September 11th raised concerns about the security of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal. According to press reports, within two days of the attacks, Pakistan's military began relocating nuclear weapons components to six new secret locations. Shortly thereafter, Gen. Pervez Musharraf fired his intelligence chief and other officers and detained several suspected retired nuclear weapons scientists, in an attempt to root out extremist elements that posed a potential threat to Pakistan's nuclear arsenal.
Concerns have also been raised about Pakistan as a proliferant of nuclear materials and expertise. In November, 2002, shortly after North Korea admitted to pursuing a nuclear weapons program, the press reported allegations that Pakistan had provided assistance in the development of its uranium enrichment program in exchange for North Korean missile technologies.
Also it would be very dangerous if these nukes were in the wrong hands.
Originally posted by HimWhoHathAnEar
Interfereing in a Civil War wouldn't be very smart IMO. What makes them think they can successfully seize these nukes? Special Forces is fine and dandy but they are still just soldiers, and a limited number of them at that. I would think full on airstrikes would be the surest and fastest way to neutralize the threat. At which point China, Iran, etc... might have a little something to say about it.
Originally posted by NGC2736
reply to post by marg6043
Now if some Pak nukes lite up the area, everyone would be in favor of the US using force to stabilize that nation, and return Mashariff to power. And there's no connection between us having standby forces around when..er.. if it happens.
And if one blew in the area controlled by the Taliban, not only would that be an indicator that everything bad is connected to AQ, but since it would be an AQ stronghold that turned into a glass parking lot, there wouldn't be much sympathy for the dead.
Gee, I bet Bushco could get a coalition up after that. And the next president of the US could win on a war platform to wipe out terrorism in our lifetime.