Originally posted by JacKatMtn
Baitullah Mehsud, denies involvement in the assasination of Bhutto and points the finger at Pakistani intelligence:
I was expecting this denial. That’s because I've been looking thru archives about him. There's lots of background info about him in the
You'll find that he's made several deals with the Pak gov, (lots of cash involved), where all is forgiven if the military is removed from his area.
Hellmutt has an interesting thread up about the failed Waziristan Accords. Even as recently as Last month he signed a cease fire and released
military hostages in exchange for removing the military from the area.
The part that's related to your post though, is where it was reported he threatened Bhutto if she returns to Pakistan. Next comes the article where
he claims he did not know that was being said, and that he never said it. It was the Interior Minister who made the claim he said that. Next the
Interior Minister denied he made the statement.
Then there is the October attack on Bhutto where it was reported that he was responsible. (guess who made that claim) He denied that he was
responsible for that attack, and claimed he had no beef against her.
So I expected the denial of this attack. In fact, he may not have been aware of the details since in the telephone transcript he had to ask if it was
Its also notable that current news reports paint him as AQ affiliated, and Taliban. It is true that they are prominent in the area. This is the same
area that OBL disappeared into from Tora Bora. Its the same area that al Zawahiri was last seen 6 months ago. Its the same area that the Pak military
has been bombing repeatedly from UAV's.
Yet looking back thru the old news, it seems the reality is, that while he is not pro-US or anti-AQ, or anti-Taliban, he's not really one of their
rulers either. He seems to be a local (Mehsud tribe) figurehead warlord controlling a large area of Afghanistan and Pakistan of more than 30,000
people where the Taliban types are allowed to stay and play if they pay him enough. In fact, its reported that you can accomplish anything in that
area only if you have his approval, which of course comes at a pri$e.
That doesn't really mean he ordered something to be done, or is even aware of the details. In all probability he didn't originate the order to kill
her. It just indicates that he may have approved the travel or weapons exchange, and helped facilitate that part. That would be why he could deny
involvement without breaking his oath of honesty.
So, if money is more the key to his cooperation rather than religious affiliation, it would be wise to look for who was most recently spreading money
to his area of control, in an attempt to figure out who ordered it.
I have read of only one group spreading money in his territory recently. It happened in the part of Afghanistan that he helps control, without the
Afghan gov's approval. They got caught at it, and kicked out of the country for it. But it didn't make big headlines, and I don't think it even
got posted on ATS. The timing, combined with happening in his territory, combined with knowing that money is the only way to get him to do something
leads me to wonder. Not that there is a smoking gun or anything, but I'll throw it out there just because nobody else is.
UN & EU officials expelled from Afghanistan
Keep in mind of course, this link is just me speculating based on Google news.
[edit on 12/29/07 by makeitso]