posted on Jan, 27 2004 @ 11:04 PM
Originally posted by ArchAngel
The real reasons are to prolong the conflict, and create leverage against China.
Can't agree with you on that, at least not totally.
No doubt that the US has used Korea to a certain degree as political leverage with China but that is more or less a biproduct of the primary
The primary reason US troops are in South Korea is the historically stated reason - for the security of South Korea. Rumsfeld shocked the bejesus out
of the new S. Korean President by offering to pull out US troops from the Korean peninsula altogether.
President Roh Moo-hyun who was elected on a wave of anti-American troop presence sentiment after a school girl was run over by an American M-1 Abrams
found himself backpeddling awfully hard when Rumsfeld made the offer.
The fact is the South Koreans want "reunification" but they don't want to be under the leadership of Pyongyang, which is exactly what would happen
if the 37,000 American troops were to pull out.
(Some analysis of the North's troop movements put 1/2 of their 1 million man army in close proximity to the DMZ.)
Currently, reunification strategists in Seoul are hopeful on information/speculation that Kim Jong Il is not well and may actually have a terminal
condition... It is said that Kim may be grooming his son to take power in the next couple of years if his health does not improve.
It could happen that Taiwan might get prodding from Washington to seek a peaceful reunification with the motherland in trade for Chinese
leverage/permission to deal with Kim and his nukes.
The problem with the US using force, (aside from Kim's nukes) is the 58,000+ artillery pieces aimed at Seoul. It is said Seoul could be nearly
destroyed in the first 24 hours of a conflict with over 1 million casualties... which is why last year Rumsfeld moved the US troops out of Seoul, back
across the river and out of artillery range - this was for 2 reasons, 1; protect the troops, and 2; if US Troops arent in/around Seoul it may be that
Kim would not hit the city as hard.
Ahnyong hee kashipsheyo~
[Edited on 28-1-2004 by intelgurl]