posted on Oct, 4 2007 @ 08:43 AM
As both a (former) equity and currency trader. The simplest explanation about the value of the almight dollar is the oldest rule of economics.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND. When the supply is low and the demand is high, the value of the dollar is high. This in turn slows our economy as it makes good
in the United States more expensive. It does however make imports cheaper. The high dollar over time has allowed countries like Japan and China not
just the ability to compete in the US with their goods, but the ability to kick our ass!!!! Take for instance, the Asian contagion, the time period
leading leading upto the collapse of Long Term Capital (the hedge fund). It all started with the rubble, then spread to the asian currencies. The
demand for the US$ became so high that the US government was selling dollars trying to keep the value of it lower than demanded was pushing it to.
Even right now, everyone is complaining about the value of the US dollar being tooo low. It is far from dangerous levels and trust me, the US
government has about 15 steps at anyone time they can take to sure up the value of the $. There is no need yet to do this. The American economy is
benefitting from it. Shhhhh its a nasty little secret, but America companies are making lots of money selling goods internationally. This is a
boon to the bottom line of multi-nationals. It is also allowing them to keep prices artificially low here in the US, allowing them to better compete
against countries such as Japan and China.
It is one thing to allow countries to compete against our own here on our soil, but definitely another to let them beat us at our own game. Why do
you think other COuntries are so worried about the US$? They never have been before. Mostly beacause they see whats going on. Its becoming harder
to compete for the American consumer. American Companies are making better productgs again, after taking about 30 years off. They see whats going
on. The Bush administration (and here is where I will get beat up) is doing a good thing trying to support the economy from all sides. Low taxes and
a low dollar during tough times is a good way keep the economy from going into recession. It is a dangerous game though. Between the infusions of
money by the FED at recent Repo events and the lowering of the diso# rate by 1% point and the Fed Funds rate by .5% there is a big fear of inflation.
I really am disappointed that so many of you ere on ATS are believers that our America $ is still backed by Gold. It was said earlier. The backing
of the US$ is the full faith and credit of the US treasury. Despite what people think, the treasury will never go broke. They can print money as
fast as they want. What happens when the printe excess money is they de-value the dollar.
Funny note about banks when times are tough:
When things are tough- banks stop worrying about the return on their dollar, its the return of thier dollar they worry about.
Not the exact quote, but something similar. Said by Wil Rogers quite some time ago. Now all you younger ATSers out there might want to go look him
up on wikipedia or something.
Well, back to work.
[edit on 4-10-2007 by traderonwallst]