posted on Sep, 29 2007 @ 07:03 AM
I've been following the election rumours with interest. One notable thing I've found is that those who initially said Brown had no mandate to govern
and should call an election now accuse him of opportunism. Make your mind up, will you? This is how our system works. Governments, both Tory and
Labour, generally go to the polls when things look good for them if they can. And to say that it's opportunism makes it sound as if the entirety of
the British people are idiots who blindly follow the tabloids and don't think for themselves.
It must be an agonising decision for the PM, but personally I'd be very tempted to go for it. I'd be very, very surprised if Labour's majority in
the Commons was reduced at all. They'll probably lose a couple of seats in Scotland owing to the SNP's success (which is one reason to wait a while;
let the SNP's popularity wear down a little) and possibly Wales with Plaid Cymru, but they'd more than make up for it with gains in parts of
I think, too, that Brown had learned from the recent Scottish and Welsh elections earlier in the year about how he should campaign; that to be
optimistic and positive. In Scotland especially, the Labour Party painted an SNP-dominated parliament as doom and gloom whereas the SNP had an upbeat
campaign about issues (However much I dislike the SNP, they certainly knew what the Scottish people wanted to hear back in May!) and it paid off.
We can see a similar situation with the Tories and Labour today - All the 'anarchy in the UK' stuff and so on paints a pretty bleak picture which
turns voters off. If the Tories want to win they have to move away from that and start thinking positive and letting this come through in their
campaign. They've got a big job in front of them, though.