posted on Sep, 28 2007 @ 05:48 AM
I'm not a junta supporter.. but ok.. let's say the junta is overthrown...
Who will fill the vacuum/void? To my understanding, Myanmar is no way fully controlled by the juntas. There are warlords, drug kingpins, hmongs, other
minor tibes.. all having their own little state or kingdom under their own arms within burma... some of the states are rather huge too.. and in Jungle
environment. The Suu kyi democracy party will only be legit in Yangon and some coastal states.. just like Iraq green zone.
People doesn't learn from the lessons in present Iraq and it's a desert.. Is Myanmar ready for so-called democracy ? Does Myanmar needs a strong man
to head the country ? When the juntas fall will there be a civil war ? Death squads might even re-appear (Hmongs- C!A trained). Who will the normal
civilian turn to... there will be many forces and parties involved... they will be caught in the middle... I'm not surprise, if they would one day
say it's better under the junta.. just like after the fall of Saddam.
One thing is for sure.. the whole country will go up in flames.
Myanmar must thread their path carefully... not at the wimps of foreign countries telling what's good for them. Of course, if good govt (be it
socialist/communist/democracy) replace the juntas peacefully.. there'll be great. But I don't see how that could happen.. as it goes - either the
junta crackdown on the protestors or give up. There is no such thing as a crackdown without violence. who will fill the vacuum ?
Ohh.. just to add. It's Myanmar.. burma no longer exist... Burma is an old Anglo-saxon colonial name. Myanmar is an independent country.. the exile
community are mostly Hmongs... if you check their history in Burma, there are C!A drug manufactureres and death squads... not the right kind of people
to call for democracy.
Lastly, the mass media seemed to be setting up the Junta for a TianAnmen Sq incident. While the protest started with Fuel ht increases, the media is
equating it to democracy. While pro-democracy faction also takes advantage of the situation, but is the monks indicating it's for Democracy or the
mass media. While the protest is about fuel increase, the good old USA is calling for Sanction.. wouldn't that adding fuel to fire. The sanction only
worsen the everyday people lives.. US is trying to Regime Change Myanamr. The mass media is stalling the reaction of the junta to put down the
protest.. when tear gas is used.. ohh! evil.. when trucheon was used.. they are hurting the protestors.. But the kind of police action is only too
common even in Europe. In effect, the number started with hundreds, then thousands and now tens of thousands. when it reached a million, The Junta,
like any other govt would be forced to use wide-spread method to clear the protestors.. for survive of the regime. Then you will see the western media
harping on human-rights for months and even a yearly rememberance.
A gain... Myanmar must thread their path carefully... What's the use of democracy.. if your country is unstable and in turmoil with decades of
[edit on 28-9-2007 by mobydog]