A few thoughts for those who think engaging Iran militarily would be disastrous for America, page 13
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reply posted on 27-9-2007 @ 02:01 AM by neformore
Originally posted by yellowcard
The U.S. didn't save Europe, but they helped out a LOT; without the U.S. mass manufacturing capacity, imports, man power and various other resources, the war would have either be greatly prolonged or lost on the western front. The question of Russia is a different topic, and the eastern front would have been greatly decided on how fast the Germans could conquer their western enemies, and how fast their manufacturing capacity could recover and evolve to the latest machinery such as jet engine aircraft or possibly nuclear weaponry. In the end though, Germany beat themselves and their fate was sealed inevitably probably before American intervention.


At last! A sensible post about WW2! Thank you!

There was, to be frank, no way in hell Hitler was going to roll over Russia. It was a straight out fight between German resources and manpower and Russian ones. The Russians actually had territory they could afford to concede whilst rebuilding and re-equipping. The Germans never really had that luxury.

Britain was slow to mobilise the Empire at the start of WW2 but also had the resources available there to duke it out if need be. People seem to forget that the RAF was sending out a thousand bombers regularly over targets, and that the Royal Navy was the largest, most capable and most powerful navy on the planet at the time.

What America did was provide material and technical assistance that was out of the range of German attacks and as such could breach the gaps in production and provide an established industrial base. After that the US assisted with bombing raids of its own and with the manpower to carry out the Normandy landings.

America's contribution to the fighting in Europe in WW2 should never be forgotten, and the assistance provided in material resources and equipment certainly helped to shorten the war.

However, even without US intervention Hitler had been fought to a standstill at the channel, and the Russians had moved entire factories and production lines out of the range of German bombers and had a massive strategic reserve of manpower to call on. The British had an atomic weapons programme that was equal to that of the Nazi's, so its likely that the two powers may have developed nukes at the same time. The British were also developing jet aircraft at a similar pace to the Germans.

Without US intervention its likely that the war would have gone on for four or five years more, but the outcome would have been the same for Germany. Europe would have been devastated and Germany and other Eastern European countries would have been annexed into the USSR, possibly with only France and the Scandinavian Countries still existing as seperate entities. Britain would have retained its empire, and the world map would look slightly different than it does today.

[edit] - I realise this was way off topic. Its just that there is a whole slew of ignorance about WW2, and maybe it deserves its own topic. I do apologise.


[edit on 27/0907/07 by neformore]


reply posted on 27-9-2007 @ 09:20 AM by MASH_DADDY
reply to post by LoneGunMan



Human? Not sure if he is.. But it seems he has the mentality of a 12 year old by that comment he made. "By bombing us to the stone age" you will be bombing Americas reputation & respect back to the stone age, not to mention your economy.


reply posted on 27-9-2007 @ 12:26 PM by StellarX
Originally posted by yellowcard
The U.S. didn't save Europe, but they helped out a LOT; without the U.S. mass manufacturing capacity, imports, man power and various other resources, the war would have either be greatly prolonged or lost on the western front.


By late mid 1943 the Germans were largely spent and the Western Allies had at that point done relatively little to bring about that situation. The SU could and would not have won the war in 1945 had it not been for the air campaign against Germany and the Invasion of Italy and later Normandy but i do not believe that they could have lost it either. The German Electric boats probably came too late to still force the Brits out of the war and with them there slowly building up to a invasion somewhere the SU were set to have a very real long term advantage. At that stage even German Nuclear weapons were probably too late to change the course of the war.


The question of Russia is a different topic, and the eastern front would have been greatly decided on how fast the Germans could conquer their western enemies,


The fact that Germany managed to take France was never a likely scenario and i think too many people have presumed that it was preordained. Without that very quick victory the SU would probably have invaded Germany in late 1941 ( or later if the Germans were still having the best of it against France and Britain) and given that their arms were expressly designed with attack in mind they would have done far better against a enemy that were fighting desperately on two fronts.

and how fast their manufacturing capacity could recover and evolve to the latest machinery such as jet engine aircraft or possibly nuclear weaponry. In the end though, Germany beat themselves and their fate was sealed inevitably probably before American intervention.


Maybe i should have read your entire post before starting to disagree as i do agree with your last sentence if by intervention you mean their declaration of war on Germany Mostly inevitably is probably more accurate but i don't wish to split any more hairs. ...

Thanks for posting and having apparently read a good number of books on the subject.

Stellar


reply posted on 27-9-2007 @ 01:31 PM by HIFIGUY
Originally posted by Odessit
RUssia will NEVER consider selling S-400 to Iran, their most advanced AA, you a common sense.
[edit on 27-9-2007 by Odessit]


or course not ...Russia would never sell to Iran.

( Janes Defense 2001 )To make matters worse, Pentagon officials quietly confirmed that Russia has also sold S-300 missiles to Iran. According to defense intelligence officials, joint Russian/Iranian crews currently man two S-300 units just outside of Tehran and Iranian Army soldiers are now undergoing operational training on the advanced missile system in Moscow


S300, now..for the right amount of money in a Capitalist system, S400 around the corner. Its the way the world runs bro. Not Russia. Dont feel bad, we have an American firm possibly selling Arms to the other side in Iraq. America is one of the largest Arms exporters in the world.

I personally could care less about the S300 or S400 Missile defense system. Its defense. It stops ICBMS. Thats a good thing.

As far as war, we can barely handle Iraq, which is about 1/4th the size of Iran in Size. Visualize attacking Alaska. The Population of Iraq is about 28 Million while Iran is 70 Million.

Here in America, were already upset about the long tours of duty for our men, and were concerned about the body counts. The Iran thing isnt going to happen over night just like Iraq.

Observe yea the Locust, how he mounts an attack without a leader....

Door to door, and an invisible enemy. With Capitalism and money as your enemy, guns will ALWAYS find their way into the hands of the opponent. Even if its Blackwater, which is an American firm.

The Palestinian conflict with Israel should indicate to the US this may be a never ending war with random cases of violence and bombings. Like that situation, the problem needs to be addressed with diplomacy. Same goes here.

The truth is, the nuclear equation sometime in the next decade will be out of balance. Eventually the wrong people will have the Bomb, or the right people that have the Bomb today, become the wrong people tomorrow. Either way, eventually we will be forced to deal with it. So rather then creating more enemies now and trying to stop the development of the technology, why not try to stop the potential for a developing conflict.

Iran and Iraq is a no win situation.

In Iraq, we won the battle but lost the War in terms of public opinion.

Its really sad. This whole thing reads like a Mike Tyson Fight. Strong as Hell, but dumb as a box of rocks.

Dumbest president in history with the most powerful military on the planet. An administration of dishonesty and deceit while noble young Americans fight and die in a war improperly conceived.

Peace


[edit on 27-9-2007 by HIFIGUY]


reply posted on 27-9-2007 @ 02:36 PM by StellarX
The Russians actually had territory they could afford to concede whilst rebuilding and re-equipping. The Germans never really had that luxury.


No one can really afford to concede territory and the NATO cold war plans to stage a fighting withdrawal from West German borders were never realistic given that the Germans were going to fight for every inch knowing that they would never have the ability to take it back. Given the massive and overwhelming Russian superiority in Artillery and short range tactical nuclear weapons manning lines densely enough to prevent serious penetration would have mostly resulted in the destruction of those formations. Basically the USSR did not retreat in 1941 because it wanted to trade space for time but because their forward formations were simply crushed and annihilated. As most countries would they stood and they fought and it simply didn't work; that they had enough space to regroup and occasional retreat back into was entirely incidental.

Britain was slow to mobilise the Empire at the start of WW2 but also had the resources available there to duke it out if need be.


It is not commonly known , even by those who read plenty of books, that Britain bankrupted itself in it's preparations for world war two and that the money coffers would have been more than empty by late 1939 -1940 no matter what the Germans did...

People seem to forget that the RAF was sending out a thousand bombers regularly over targets, and that the Royal Navy was the largest, most capable and most powerful navy on the planet at the time.


That is surely so British bombers were no match for German fighters and in daytime they were as good as annihilated over Germany hence the bombing in the darkness that made such efforts almost entirely ineffective in terms of doing damage to German industry. The British navy was large but it had much to protect and three enemy navies to contend with. The Italian navy lacked many things but to ensure that it did not get 'lucky' in the Med against the vital convoy lines still cost the Royal navy dozens of capital and escort ships. The IJN were not treated with much respect but even then they could not be ignored and many more capital ships had to guard the approaches to India and Australia to say nothing of the holdings they gained from Holland and the other low countries...

The cost of guarding all that while guarding against the U-boat menace in the Atlantic and possible breakouts of German capital ships left Britain so exposed that there was a few months were a German invasion were in my opinion not only possible but probably enough to result in a invasion of Britain that they British simply lacked the means to reduce once established.

What America did was provide material and technical assistance that was out of the range of German attacks and as such could breach the gaps in production and provide an established industrial base.


Without American assistance Britain would not in my opinion have been able to sustain the attrition for very long and would have been reduced to mere survival while they kept open their lines of communication with India,Australia and Canada. Britain could probably in good time have raised armies and industries in those countries but not in my opinion anything that could seriously threaten a victorious German reich stretching to the Urals and slowly moving on Egypt. The American 'assistance' was thus not enough without the benefit of their manpower and physical industrial capacity...

After that the US assisted with bombing raids of its own and with the manpower to carry out the Normandy landings.
America's contribution to the fighting in Europe in WW2 should never be forgotten,


And i believe the contributions of many others are far worse understood or known than that of the US...

and the assistance provided in material resources and equipment certainly helped to shorten the war.


That is certainly so but Germany could best have been defeated if American corporations interest were not allowed to continue functioning in service of the Nazi war machine. Given that REPARATIONS were paid to these corporations, by the US government for destruction of their properties in Germany, after the second it's pretty clear that that the US government were not really all that interested in bringing to war to it's fastest possible conclusion.

However, even without US intervention Hitler had been fought to a standstill at the channel, and the Russians had moved entire factories and production lines out of the range of German bombers and had a massive strategic reserve of manpower to call on.


Hitler was no more fought to a standstill at Dunkirk than he was fought to standstill at the gates of Moscow and in both instances it was in my opinion political considerations that allowed both Britain and the SU to recover in ways that would have otherwise been impossible to explain.

The British had an atomic weapons programme that was equal to that of the Nazi's, so its likely that the two powers may have developed nukes at the same time.


The British program could not have been completed with US funds and possible not without US direct assistance. There is plenty of information that indicates that the Nazi atomic weapons program were in fact quite advanced but since i do not have the time to defend that as the fact i believe it to be i will claim it as my opinion only.

The British were also developing jet aircraft at a similar pace to the Germans.


Despite the war moving closer to home the Germans were faster and their operational result were 'better' by a significant margin...

Without US intervention its likely that the war would have gone on for four or five years more, but the outcome would have been the same for Germany.


If there were no serious threat of invasion in Normandy ( which would not have happened for years without US manpower) or the direct aid to the SU Germany would probably have been able to defend successive lines and possibly even fighting the SU to a virtual standstill in 1943 and 44. I am not sure how long they could have kept that up but the SU would have been bled white if Germany did not have to defend Italy and Normandy with such large formations of combat divisions. Germany could afford occupation divisions ( little or no fuel expenditure and older soldiers that were reinforced by whatever formations were resting and retraining in the region after combat attrition) but not such a drain fighting on multiple fronts with tens of millions of tons worth of explosives being consumed in defense against the day bombing air campaign that would not have been possible without the USAF. This is not counting the tens of thousands of barrels consumed or the fact that the the resources taken up by the ten odd thousands flak guns could not have been employed to massively improve the combat performance of German divisions against the Soviet tank armies.

Either way that what ifs and could-have-been's can keep any of us busy for a few years.

Europe would have been devastated and Germany and other Eastern European countries would have been annexed into the USSR, possibly with only France and the Scandinavian Countries still existing as seperate entities.


Europe would have been occupied entirely and given the skilled citizens and vast industrial and resource base the US would have been hard pressed to fund the type of cold war expenditures that could have protected them for as long as it in fact did...

Britain would have retained its empire, and the world map would look slightly different than it does today.


If the SU took Germany the ME would have been quick to follow and without that direct link India could no longer have kept Britain afloat thus probably making the British isle's untenable. Given that i don't know how much of the world Stalin was really bent on taking i wont argue that that was ever going to happen but if Stalin wanted to i doubt the US could have made Atomic weapons fast enough to stop him...

[edit] - I realise this was way off topic. Its just that there is a whole slew of ignorance about WW2, and maybe it deserves its own topic. I do apologise.

I'll just say you started it as i am already in hot water for my alleged off topic remarks.

I hope my post is somehow 'useful' to you and that any apparent insult will be forgiven as unintended and largely due to high speed typing and no proof reading...

Sorry..

Stellar
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