posted on Sep, 11 2007 @ 03:07 AM
I don't feal that it will be as global as WW2. That war was fought on every continent except Antarctica. Some of it was even fought on American soil
in the Aleutian Islands. And it involved pretty much all of the civilized and technologically advanced nations in some form or other. Some played
supporting roles without actually committing forces to the fray, while others were mired in the bloodshed. And we know it was a costly war. Estimates
of the total loss of life vary and depend on what perspective you look at it from. Mine? If you include the millions Stalin purged in Russia before,
during, and after the war I would say somewhere around 30 million.
This war will be similar in some ways. It will be a global war in the sense of many nations being involved. But the battlefronts will not be defined
aside from invasions of nations. Virtually all nations now will be involved in some aspect. Most will not commit any forces to actually combating it.
As we have seen, the early stages have shown that there have been three battlefronts: The Gulf War, Afghanistan, and Iraq again. Scattered over the
years numerous terrorist attacks. Khobar Towers, the fist bombing of of the World Trade Center, The USS Cole, 9/11, Madrid, London, Bali, and numerous
The initial stages of this war have been and will be for some time small scale skirmishes and action, tons of terrorist attacks and counter-terrorism
action. For awhile allot of it will be fought politically. We already see alliances being formed and changed. America has lost valuable allies while
finding allies in unexpected places. Our traditional foes, the Russians are moving to a more Soviet style lately. Just this month alone there have
been at least two examples of a return to Cold War thinking on the part of the Russians involving their long range bombers.
Let us not forget KAL 007. When the Russians shot down a civilian airliner with some 160 odd people aboard. Americans never recovered the black boxes.
Russia may pull another stunt like this based on their increasing belligerence lately. Meanwhile, you have China and North Korea trying to assert
themselves. These three foes could potentially form an alliance. I don't expect them to outright support the terrorist factions and regimes in the
Middle East except for Iran. To do so would not be in their best interests.
The next stage will see an escalation of violence in the Middle East. I would even wager Israel may be invaded. Iran is going to have a nuke in about
3 or 4 years. At this point the violence will increase. It's likely going to involve Israel. As I said, Israel may well act unilaterally and hit Iran
first. Regardless, it's going to go off like a roman candle over there.
When it does, the Americans will already have a presence there and be at ground zero. If the US can react properly and swiftly it might help slow down
overall escalation. But it will get so hot there that America will be in grave danger of completely falling apart. As we have seen now the liberals
and far left are stirring up enough anti-war and ant-military sentiment to seriously threaten the effective use of our armed forces and will to fight.
Once things go pear shaped in the Middle East expect to see America look allot like it did in the 1960's but worse. There will be allot of violence
right here at home. Muslims will be persecuted. It's going to get very ugly here. All the various groups will be at each other's throats.
Meanwhile the terrorists, who are the true heart of WW3 will grow stronger. Europe is pretty much going to sit on its ass. Aside from Germany. Germany
isn't pro-America but since 9/11 have done more than other Europeans with maybe the exception of the British at seeking out terror cells and shutting
them down. But Europe will do little unless directly affected by the conflict. To prove this consider the Madrid train bombing.
Spain, prior to the bombing was supportive of American efforts and even committed troops. But unrest at home was growing. al Qaeda conveniently blew
up a train which had a direct effect on the elections in Spain. Sure enough, the new leader there was not pro-American and Spain backed off supporting
America. France will do nothing, as usual. Only England will be able to be counted on for any demonstrable support.
And so, we are seeing new alliance forming, increased violence. But not full scale war yet. No, that's going to take something drastic. I expect Al
Qaeda will launch another deadly attack, most likely on American soil. This is in part to our lack of secured borders and the far left having done
allot of harm to Homeland Security. We are an easy target still. If only America is attacked the war will remain as it is for a long time. But, if the
terrorists do a major attack on any nation friendly to America we will see full scare war in no time. If they detonate a dirty bomb in London, Tokyo,
perhaps even Berlin, we'll see a rapid shift in thinking with some nations.
They will suddenly see America might be right. They'll join the fight.
Iran will be the next battlefront in terms of taking down terror supporting regimes. Russia is going to play this one very close to the vest. If Iran
does something that justifies being attacked in return Russia will not be so quick to support them. But if Iran is attacked without adequate
provocation Russia will most assuredly fully back Iran. This will give the Russians their foot in the door to try to regain their former Soviet style
power and influence. And if Russia steps in..so will China and North Korea.
So essentially what will happen is you'll have a three sided war: The allied powers being mostly Western nations, perhaps some Asian ones like Japan
and South Korea, the radical and fanatical Islamic nations who sponsor terrorism, and then a Communist Alliance formed of Russia, China, North Korea.
Venezuela and Cuba will side with them. Though if Castro dies soon there is hope for a new Cuba.
In the end this war will be one of ideology and religion. It's another Crusade. Primarily it'll be Christians vs. Muslims. But with the likelihood
of a third party in the form of communists. I think the Communists will gladly set back and let the Christians and Muslims fight it out and then be
opportunistic as it suits them. I also believe the escalation into full war will see the use of nuclear weapons. And the ones who will first use them
will be Iran. this will embolden North Korea to use theirs. Pakistan and India will refrain from using their unless attacked. Now, Western nations
will be reluctant to use the nukes unless of course Iran and North Korea use theirs on them. Even then I think America will resist as much as possible
using them. Mean while, Russia will not use theirs until last. Russia and China will save theirs for when they think they will need them most. After
all, if America is nuking the Mideast why not let them expend their weapons? Why waste ours?
The worldwide death toll will be very high. Even more so if nukes get involved and this is very possible. I won't say billions will die. That's
impractical. But the death toll will exceed WW2. And further more, we will see a total realignment of power in the world. A new balance will be the
result. Western nations aside from South American ones will be weakened in terms of strength and political influence. Economies will collapse. America
will no longer be the sole superpower. South American ones, like Venezuela, having made deals with the true power in WW3 will become dominant in this
hemisphere. Europe will be devastated, perhaps not by bombing, but economically and politically. England could become a third world nation. Europe
will be stagnant. Japan, if the allies lose, will likely be invaded by China and North Korea. Pakistan and India will remain pretty much as is but
shifting allegiance to the stronger nations around them.
The Middle East will have gained nothing. Most nations there will be devastated by warfare and pretty much remain weak and impotent. Oil rich nations
might found themselves occupied. The Communist Alliance will fare the best of all. They'll gain new territories and resources. Russia will be the
sole superpower, sharing a bit of the glory with China.
ah...not much if anything will happen to them. They're conveniently too far away to be invaded easily or a threat to anyone.
Mod edit - spaced paragraphs for easier reading
[edit on 11/9/07 by masqua]