1. The current government will fall and be replaced by one that is far more sectarian, pro Shiite and less secular.
2. Iran will have a Shiite dominated government that will be more far more of an ally than the current one is able to be with our troops both present
in its lands and propping it up. For example should we ever invade Iran I'm sure Iraq would be there to back Iran up.
3. Genocide will take place against the Sunnis. This is how stability will be granted to Iraq and Iran. By ruthlessly eliminating all Sunni
opposition(s) to Muslim Fundamentalists Shiite ideology both Iran and its naturally pro Iranian government stand to gain further consolidating their
4. It is probably that Iran and Iraq will have shared military policy, and that Iraq would be protected by any future Iranian nuclear shield.
5. Iraq will almost certainly become closed to investment from those countries who participated in invading it, but probably all Western-Christian
countries. It is very likely that any investments that have been made in Iraq by America or Israel will be totally confiscated.
Unfortunately all of these things will happen if the democratic system we put in Iraq is allowed to run its cause. Because (already) although we are
in Iraq at the invitation of the Iraqi government; we are not there at the invitation of Iraqi people (the majority of whom not just want us out, but
actually support attacks against our troops).
American Troops: www.usatoday.com...
British Troops: www.telegraph.co.uk...
This gives you an idea of how out of touch the current elected government is with is electorate. However should we stay (and the will of democracy of
prevail) then a new government will be elected and this government will kick us out, and no doubt influence all of the five points above.
Staying in Iraq only delays this prophecy up till 2009 and barring some miracle from the sky no more.
Should the prophecy be fulfilled we will be crying on the gravestone of Saddam Hussein only it will be too late, as we will have caused him to be
Staying in Iraq reduces our chances of being able to find a leader like Saddam
(who despite whatever flaws) we can at least
business with. Who is at least Secular and materially guided, as opposed to fundamentalist and religious-ideology guided.
The reason why us being in Iraq reduces the chances of a (principally pro-western) Saddam leader is because much of our boys fighting is taking place
against the Sunnis, who have sided with Al-Qaeda in a bid to get us out of their land. However the Sunnis are demographically (with exception of
course) far more secular, materialistic, and generally pro-western in their outlook than the pro-Iranian Iraqi Shiite (who are pro-Iranian because
they are ethnically and culturally almost identical to the Iranians, but who resemble Iranians more at the time of the Iranian revolution than much of
Iran’s youth does today.
By being in Iraq, aggravating the obvious-understandable wrath of the Sunnis, and then feeling the need to kill them of because they attack us (as a
result), we are in fact doing the extreme of the extremists Shiites dirty work. We are in other words helping to build the foundations of a (not so
far away) future Iranian style Iraqi state.
Therefore the troops who die today in Iraq do so not merely mostly in vein, but by killing those (who in other circumstances (if we were out of their
country) would be many of our few allies) die also in a way that is directly counterproductive to future of western foreign policy-opportunities.
In my less certain opinion…
It is a shame we are ruled by evil people because otherwise we would have some original thinkers conversing them. Sadly for us evil people have a way
of falling out with good people, original people, and most leaders have a problem with anyone who tries to converse them.
What We Should Do...
Be in Iraq only to lay strong foundations for a secular dictator because it is plain for all to see that the general Iraqi public are too much, and
have been through too much, to back an effective secular democracy.
Maliki must go because is full of too much hatred, in particular towards the Sunnis, he is not opposed enough to the Iraqi police being infiltrated
with extreme types who share enough of his politics. What we must have if we are to stabilise Iraq with a pro-western government, is not just a
, but one who also
says: "we are all Iraqi"
"Does anyone disagree with that?
Because let me know, and
then I will imprison or kill you and torture you're supporters so I can find out who else disagrees with this statement, because it's a statement
that's crucial to ending this civil war (which hurts everyone) and re-building Iraq into a country fit for human beings" (like it once was before