Maths proves US won't attack: Iran leader, page 2
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reply posted on 3-9-2007 @ 12:24 PM by downtown436
reply to post by St Udio



Pardon me, but how exactly is it that we are going to lose by not attacking Iran? Seems to me that if we don't attack we have a chance of leaving the middle east entirely (if Ron Paul wins in 08').


reply posted on 3-9-2007 @ 03:06 PM by dr_strangecraft
I disagree. The reason Iraq was invaded was precisely so it would remain a basketcase for a generation, thereby giving american military bases the rationale they need.

Ditto Afghanistan.

The longrange neocon goal here is actually picking holes and creating chaos along Russia's southern flank, making sure they cannot form an intact alliance with India.

If there is regime change in Iran, odds are it would definitely by anti-american, and probably pro-russian, to boot.

No, the goal is to keep Achmim-nedin-jihad on his electoral throne--as long as he stays, Iranian foreign policy is effectively neutered by his inflammatory rhetoric, which even scares syria. It keeps Iran isolated, the goal of the conservative agenda.

Besides, Iran with nukes isn't really a threat to the USA, or even Israel.

Haushofer-ian geopolitics predicts (ironic mathematic imagery) that an atomic Iran will attack another muslim state; probably syria, turkey, or a russian client-state. Throughout history, dictators expand first by attacking the neighbor that most resembles themselves culturally:

Napolean attacking Austrian vassal-states in northern Italy

Hitler annexing Sudeten and all of Czechoslavakia

Saddam annexing Kuwait

Sa'udi Arabia trying to annex Yemen

Syria trying to take Lebanon (or Israel doing so, for that matter)

The odds are overwhelming: when Iran invades or nukes someone, it will be a muslim state, headed by a conservative, but with a large liberal underground . . . .


History never repeats itself; but sometimes, it rhymes.


reply posted on 3-9-2007 @ 04:59 PM by OBE1
Good response dr_strangecraft. I've entertained the contrived chaos theory myself. It could hold some water, but in my opinion, only as a best-of-the-worst-case-scenario strategy. Naturally, the basis for regime change in Iran, as crafted by American military & intelligence intervention would guarantee the instillation of a pro-Western figurehead. Our history in Iranian politics, and elsewhere would bear this out. I believe that control of Iran always was, and still remains a vital necon strategic objective. In this regard, Iraq represents an additional failure for the administration, it's think-tanks, and the American people....but a definite victory for Iran, Syria, and to a certain degree, Israel.

I think most would agree, that Iran remains the great conundrum for this administration in it's effort to establish dominance in the ME. When King Abdullah issued an invitation to Ahmadinejad at last years Arab League in Riyadh, and chastised the U.S. for it's "illegal foreign occupation" of Iraq...he spoke on behalf of a growing faction of Gulf states. Clearly, Iran is not isolated, nor without public and internal support within the Arab nations...a growing burden for Washington. One could actually argue that 'isolation' is a greater concern for GWB, and the U.S.

I don't think the chance of Iran using nuclear weapons on it's neighbors is any more likely than Israel using them on theirs...probably less. Ultimately, I think a nuclear Iran is inevitable.

I appreciate the historical references dr_strangecraft. I'll throw them into the mix & consider them


reply posted on 3-9-2007 @ 06:05 PM by dr_strangecraft
reply to post by Sri Oracle



Except that the US participates in weapons inspections.

And avoids one-line posts.


reply posted on 4-9-2007 @ 12:59 AM by BitRaiser
reply to post by Xtrozero


Prove that any of those comments are true without quoting a western media source that has an interest in seeing the Middle East destabilized.
I'll bet you can't.
Further, I bet you can't because it is in-fact impossible.

You need to stop swallowing all the corporate media generated propaganda.
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