An interesting article, and some even more telling comments. How many of you are familiar with the
dragon in Carl Sagan’s Garage?
To start with, I don’t disbelieve in conspiracies at all. They happen, just not as often as people think. Furthermore, they rarely remain secret for
long. On the other hand, I have problems accepting the vast majority of conspiracy theories
at face value. As I see it, most conspiracy
theories have two main problems.
Most conspiracy theories work to make the facts fit the theory. When that becomes impossible, the theory tends to develop an additional layer of
complexity. I am a firm believer in the principle of Occam’s razor. For a dude living in the middle ages, Occam was pretty sharp. The basic tenet
is as follows “one should not increase, beyond what is necessary, the number of entities required to explain anything.”
In other words, the simplest explanation that covers all of the facts is the best explanation. As it has been pointed out here, many conspiracy
theories rely on very complex explanations for simple events.
Just as most conspiracy theories tend to be overly complex when explaining physical events, they also tend to be over simplistic when dealing with
human behavior, emotions, and motivations. As it has also been pointed out, most conspiracy theories rely on cartoonishly evil “bad guys” (ala Boris
Badenov) to work.
Now, that is not to say that there aren’t some seriously evil people out there. There are any number of Saddam Husseins and Ted Bundys out there, but
they are a small fraction of a percentage point of humanity as a whole. The kind of large scale organized sociopathic behavior often attributed to
the mythical Illuminati, NWO, or ____ (fill-in-the-blank) is too far removed from common every day human behavior to be believable.
For instance, how many serial killers have acted in concert with other serial killers? How many dictators have willingly shared power with other
dictators? If there is one thing that has been constant through the years it is human behavior. Greed, vanity, avarice, as well as mercy, empathy,
and selflessness, are constants among saints and sinners alike.
[Edited on 12-1-2004 by HowardRoark]