Iran Asks Japan to Pay Yen for Oil, Starting Immediately, page 1
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Topic started on 13-7-2007 @ 11:46 AM by phoenixhasrisin

Iran Asks Japan to Pay Yen for Oil, Starting Immediately


www.bloomberg.com
July 13 (Bloomberg) -- Iran asked Japanese refiners to switch to the yen to pay for all crude oil purchases, after Iran's central bank said it's cutting holdings of the U.S. dollar.
(visit the link for the full news article)


Related News Links:
business.timesonline.co.uk


reply posted on 13-7-2007 @ 12:27 PM by dr_strangecraft
It's a political move, pure and simple.

this is just digits in a computer, whether the oil is counted in USD or yen or pesos.

International trade can be denominated in any currency you like. Since dollars and yen are freely convertible in the world's currency markets, Iran could just as easily perform the exchange itself. In fact, it already does; buying and selling currencies every second to handle transactions with every one of its global trading partners. The "hole" in the currency exchange matrix between the price in USD per barrell, versus price in Yen per barrell, is so small that you have to be a currency speculator to try and exploit it. Such windows last for less than thirty seconds at a stretch on the spot markets in oil.

The only real effects of this move are:

1) make Iran less vulnerable to having its international accounts frozen by the US and US-friendly banks

2) help mask the true number of barrels they export per day

3) make Japan more dependent upon Iran's welfare. The same arguments that "dollar bears" use against China "stockpiling american debt" also applies to Iran "hoarding" Japanese currency: if it is dumped in a hurry, it would allegedly damage the Japanese economy. (In actuality, Iran would lose billions, as the value of the yen fell, and speculators move in to exploit the "window" created by differential currency exchance between Iran and the Merk, or London, etc.

4). Provide the needed propaganda headline for this news-cycle in Iran and the US.

.


reply posted on 13-7-2007 @ 12:27 PM by Gools
War? The war is on-going IMO. There's more than one way to fight a war and guns and bombs are not the most effective. (Petrodollar Warfare)

I see this as more of a prelude to economic collapse (or at least very hard times) ahead. It's going to be a very interesting fall I think.

Things like this are a very bad sign:




edit: pause on the small print... 99.25% APR!!!! That's the "typical" advertised rate!


[edit on 7/13/2007 by Gools]


reply posted on 15-7-2007 @ 03:16 AM by johnsky

Well, look on the bright side. The decline of the dollar will create more jobs because it's now more cheaper for investors oversees to invest in the US.


Doesn't exactly work like that... yes the value of the dollar is a big deciding factor with outsourcing, but you still have to look at what it costs for the companies to do the work over there as well.

The US has pretty high job standards for a country with a currency declining at this rate. Though they will have to bring minimum wage up to let their people eat now, they will also have to drop minimum wage just to compete.

Remember, there are over 37 million citizens of the US living below the poverty line. This is going to be a big problem, as not only will that number increase, but those already below poverty, will simply be unable to survive.
Without any form of a social safety net for them, many of these people could likely simply die off.

Expect to see signs such as "No Vacancy" or "No Funding" on local homeless shelters.

There is one shining light amidst all of this. Canada's borders are still wide open to immigrants. Canada's long standing tradition of bringing in immigrants to work in exchange for citizenship will undoubtedly assist many citizens of the US.

Expect this to begin changing though, once a possible depression spreads into Canada as well.


With every depression, there comes civil unrest. Expect excessively harsh laws being permitted in states that were once quite liberal.


Best thing you can do is invest at this point. Not just in something solid like gold, but also invest in your future. If times get bad for you in the future, you may want to be stocked in canned food for quite some time.

I'm not sure what else you can do... leave?


Financial advisors have been warning of a coming economic crisis ever since 2002. And they are getting louder.
What will you do?

[edit on 15-7-2007 by johnsky]


reply posted on 21-7-2007 @ 12:20 PM by Gools
UPDATE:

Looks like Japan will comply.


Nippon Oil to pay for Iran crude in yen, not dollars
The Japan Times
Thursday, July 19, 2007


Nippon Oil to pay for Iran crude in yen, not dollars

Nippon Oil Corp., the top Japanese petroleum wholesaler, will start paying Iran in yen instead of dollars for crude oil imports this fall, Chairman Fumiaki Watari said Wednesday.

If Nippon Oil effects the change, it would become the first Japanese oil wholesaler to switch to yen payments for Iranian oil.

"When it is possible, we will directly send yen," Watari said at a regular news conference. He said the change is in response to a recent request from National Iraninan Oil Co.

Iran has asked Japanese oil wholesalers to make payments for oil purchases in yen, not dollars as currently used in most transactions.

Nippon Oil buys around 120,000 barrels a day of crude oil from state-owned NIOC under term contracts, accounting for about 25 percent of Japan's total oil imports from Iran, the second-largest producer in OPEC.

Japan is the world's second-largest importer of crude oil.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


I get several things from reading the full article. One is that Iran is well on it's way in dumping the dollar since over 70% of it's transactions are now in non-dollar currencies. This is possibly/likely one of the factors in the dollar's recent decline.

Secondly, the article specifies that these are private contracts between the state oil company of Iran and the oil wholesalers in Japan with the spokesman for the wholesaler saying they will pay "directly". This definitely breaks the petrodollar cycle.

While the price of oil may still bet "set in dollars" (for how long?) and the number converted to another currency for payment, there are less dollars needed in accounts (be they corporate or government accounts) for international financial transactions. Thus a weaker demand to keep the dollar around.
.
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