posted on May, 25 2007 @ 08:09 AM
I don't buy your timeline. Personally, I think that if the US decides to screw with Iran things will escalate much, much faster. Iran has learned
from the recent Iraq wars that if it doesn't use its military assets early-on they likely won't be there to use. Iran knows that even in our
currently depleted military state, we still have the capacity to ravage their military and C3 assets. Any large-scale bombing campaign will panic
their already fractured population and create significant internal unrest and pressure. Iran's leaders cannot allow this. Further, if the US feels
the need to destroy or attempt to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities it is widely accepted thath it would require tactical nukes to do this. The
ramifications of nuking Iran are immense beyond measure.
If the US were to attack Iran, I believe Iran would act immediately to close the Straits, would attack our assets in Iraq, would attempt to attack the
oil refineries in Iraq and would initiate massive and widespread suicide campaigns --- worldwide. The global economic hardship that would result from
the war would be crippling, the US would be held accountable and their would be serious economic reprisals against us. I don't believe the situation
woulkd drag-out nearly as long as you have suggested.