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America has seen a spate of alleged UFO sightings in recent weeks and months. Eyewitnesses in Arizona, Illinois, Arkansas, North Carolina, and other states have reported seeing mysterious lights and objects in the sky.
Could such sightings be alien spacecraft? Of course it’s possible; many things are possible.
The question is not what is possible but what is probable—what evidence and logic suggest.
Before jumping to conclusions about ETs in spacecraft, we must look at the most likely explanations.
Without some independent confirmation or other evidence, it’s hard to know what the United Airlines employees might have seen.
But is it more likely that they saw an optical illusion, or that a large, unknown object hovered over one of the country’s busiest airports without being seen by anyone else or appearing on radar?
The lights over Arkansas and Arizona had something in common: they were both seen near military bases, at a time when Air Force pilots were dropping very bright flares from parachutes during training.
The flares, producing in some cases nearly 2 million candlepower, would be visible for miles.
So is it more likely that the mysterious lights were actually alien spacecraft, or that people simply saw the aerial magnesium flares released at the same time and place?
(It would in fact be much more mysterious if no one had reported seeing lights in the sky at that time!)
Any object seen in the sky, especially at night, can be very difficult to identify because of the limitations of human perception.
Knowing how far away something is helps us determine its size and speed; that’s why we know that moving cars seen at a distance are'nt really smaller, nor are they moving slowly; it’s simply an optical illusion.
If the eyewitness does'nt know the distance, then he or she cannot determine the size.
Is that thing in the sky twenty feet long and 200 yards away, or is it 200 feet long and a mile away? It’s impossible to know, and this makes estimates of size, distance and speed very unreliable.
All that is needed to create a UFO sighting is one person who may not recognize a light or object in the sky.
But just because one person—or even several people—can’t immediately identify or explain something they see does'nt mean that someone else with more training or experience (or even the same person seeing the same object from a different angle) may not instantly recognize it.
Astronomers, who spend the most time looking at the sky, rarely report UFOs.
This is because they often recognize aerial phenomena (odd clouds, comets, etc.) that the average person would consider strange or unexplainable.
Originally posted by jtma508
As for astronomers... don't they spend the vast majority of their time looking at very small sections of the sky? I don't think many of them stand outside just looking up at the sky. Think of this analogy: you and I stand shoulder to shoulder looking up at the sky. The only difference is that you are looking through a telescope. If an airplane flies by who has the greater chance of seeing it?
Another point, would an astronomer risk his/her reputation to report a UFO if s/he did see one?