Good opinion but it was basically an assessment of the current and former chinese military that you based future growth on. Consider these facts,
chinas military has lost over 6 million soldiers beginning in the 1980s with a budget of 6 billion to an army of 1.6 million with a budget of 35
- The huge increase in transport aircraft
- The expanding navy which has just increased by leaps and bounds in one decade (both training and technology)
- Chinas white papers
- The Chinese need for raw materials
The chinese military has undergone the largest reformation that ANY military has gone through in the last two decades. Weapons have not been replaced
as yet but doctrines have changed dramatically. Basically similar to the Germans using cardboard trucks as tanks but china is using older equipment to
train troops in new tactics.
My opinion about chinas motives are based on historical references. China has always considered herself the centre of the earth and used surrounding
states topay tribute and a lesser extent as trade. The silk road offered china trade and wealth and need to be protected. Modern china has her own
silk road in the form of the strings of pearls.
- South-china sea
- Friendly India
- Persian Gulf
She is also starting to court #ries with strategic importance aswell as places with raw materials. Nigeria, Sudan, Venuzla, Angola and as we speak the
chinese leadership is traveling through these countries signing even more agreements. China does not need 11 CBG or hundreds of bases world wide to be
a superpower or project power, all it needs is guaranteed supply lines opened and markets for these products which are unlikey to be shut down. Thats
the reason why America didn't going around conquring soviet allies or stopping soviet/japanese/german trade to stop competitors
Originally posted by mel1962
Vietnam (1979) - Month long war, China was unable to mobilize over half of its forces and quarter of it army. 25% casualty rate and they were
repelled, very poor performance.
China didn't want to mobilize half its forces, it mobilized 200,000 troops in the Guangzhou military district and used 80,000 of them. It was a
border actions in Chinese eyes and these forces were tiny compared to the forces china could have prepared. The airforce also wasnt used in this
conflict. You state that china was repelled, they were never repelled, they retreated after their objectives where met
But its not logical to compare the chinese army based on th "peoples war" concept to the new chinese army which is more streamlined as well as
having more firepower and equipment to call upon
Sino-Soviet Border Conflict (1969) - Very small incident, China was unable to make advances. So-so performance.
It was one regiment againest a lot more Soviet soldiers fighting over a few square kilometers of land. The risk of a soviet invasion was much to great
aswell as nuclear war so both sides retreated and negoitated for a cease-fire agreement