posted on Jan, 28 2007 @ 08:05 AM
I noticed UK's Met Office forecast hasn't recieved much attention, considering their level of accuracy is phenomenal:
2007 - forecast to be the warmest year yet
Each January the Met Office, in conjunction with the University of East Anglia, issues a forecast of the global surface temperature for the coming
year. The forecast takes into account known contributing factors, such as solar effects, El Niño, greenhouse gases concentrations and other
multi-decadal influences. Over the previous seven years, the Met Office forecast of annual global temperature has proved remarkably accurate, with
a mean forecast error size of just 0.06 °C
The potential for a record 2007 arises partly from a moderate-strength El Niño already established in the Pacific, which is expected to persist
through the first few months of 2007. The lag between El Niño and the full global surface temperature response means that the warming effect of El
Niño is extended and therefore has a greater influence the global temperatures during the year.Please visit the link provided for the complete story.
I have also been speculating that El Niño will fade off this year and usher in a La Niña. Hot temps and the climate setting up towards an abundance
of cyclogenesis potential, doesn't bode well for the US East coast.
2007 Hurricane Forecast: Is La Niña Coming?
[edit on 28-1-2007 by Regenmacher]