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reply posted on 29-1-2007 @ 10:13 AM by marg6043
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Global warming is happening that is not doubt about it . . .
That humans are adding to make it faster is also part of the problem. . .
But is going to happen not matter what . . .
People will die but more for the way that nations and leaders trying to cover up the facts rather than finding ways and looking for ways to help
humanity survived.
Profits are number one priority over human beings . . . because we are expendable. . .
More research has to be done, more money should be allocated to map the earth and find out the possible scenarios as waters rises and land is lost. .
.
So people can start planning too where to move, relocate or migrate like the ancient man did when they were caught in the ice age and survived.
The problem is that now lands are claimed by nations and nations are not friendly with each other anymore than the polite acknowledge of sovereignty
rights.
What will happen if we wait to long and then force migrations by means of wars.
More unnecessary deaths when a good plan can make things possible.
But that is something that we people need to work on . . . if we let our governments tells us what to do . . . we already know where we will be
heading as the climate change takes hold.
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reply posted on 29-1-2007 @ 10:16 AM by Essan
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btw the current mass extinction event started about 50,000 years ago
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reply posted on 29-1-2007 @ 10:26 AM by andy1033
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Originally posted by Essan
I would treat all leaks on what the IPCC AR4 may - or may not - say with extreme caution. Even when the actual reports are released, I expect the
media to "misquote out of context" a fair bit in order to generate more dramatic headlines. At a moment it's a bit like determining the plot of a
movie from a 30 second trailer. Yes, the good guy gets shot and there's a car chase - but you don't yet know the context in which these events take
place
Far, far better to wait until you get a chance to read the AR4 yourself (or at least, the Summary for Policy Makers - the full report will be pretty
technical for anyone not a professor in atmospheric science etc) before drawing any conclusions or getting into any discussions.
yep i understand people want to jump the gun, but unless they are clear on what there findings are, and there words have strengh behind them, it is
just a waste of time. saying things like likely just leaves things open, thats all i am saying. i understand that it may not be the final wording or
the report. i have not read the past reports, so it will be intersting to see what it actually says.
i wonder what percentage of the scientists accept the findings, that are not part of the group, and is this board accepted as knowing what they are
talking about.
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reply posted on 29-1-2007 @ 12:48 PM by soficrow
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Originally posted by loam
As many anticipate the report's release later this week, some details are already emerging...
A chilling conclusion on global warming
The report will say that global warming caused by human activity is no longer a theory. It is a fact.
...
[T]he report will ask and answer four basic questions:
- Can humans affect the climate system and, if so, what changes have been observed? The report will say that natural factors alone can no longer
explain the changes seen in the second half of the 20th century, citing a new physical understanding of the climate system.
- How sure are we that humans are responsible for climate change? The report will say that it is a virtual certainty that humans have caused the
change, meaning that the scientists are "99 percent" certain.
- How different will the climate be in the future? The climate, its chemical mix now substantially altered by higher concentrations of carbon
dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide, will continue to warm. Ice sheets will continue to melt, making sea levels rise.
- How has science changed our understanding of global warming since international efforts were launched in 1990? All the evidence has come together,
scientists say, to form an internally consistent story.
More...
Here's the real surprise...
Think the report might be too alarmist? Here's what top US Scientists say:
See, also, Glacial earthquakes
Stay tuned... and hope for the best. It looks like we are going to need it.
Last warning: 10 years to save world
Scientists say rising greenhouses gases will make climate change unstoppable in a decade
THE world has just 10 years to reverse surging greenhouse gas emissions or risk runaway climate change that could make many parts of the planet
uninhabitable.
The stark warning comes from scientists who are working on the final draft of a new report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Wow.
Thanks loam.
...As you know, I think the evidence shows the earth is affected by 'galactic' weather and the sun - and human activities too.
IMO - we know so little about our planet's sytems that the last thing we should do is muck with them. Including polluting and contaminating the
earth's eco- and atmospheric systems, and trying to "correct" past mistakes with giant mirrors.
Time to clean it up, and stop messing with things we don't understand.
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reply posted on 29-1-2007 @ 08:07 PM by elysiumfire
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Hi There,
A further update on the coming report by the IPCC. It concerns the on-going monitoring of glacier melt. 30 mountain glaciers around the world have
been and are continuing to be monitored.
In 2005, these glaciers showed accelerated melt of 1.6 times more than during the 1990s, and three times faster than during the '80s.
Wilfried Haeberli, director of the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) was quoted s follows...
We can say there were times during the warmer periods of the last 10,000 years when glaciers have been comparable to what they are now,
and...
but it is not the past that worries us, it is the future. With the scenarios predicted, we will enter conditions which we have not seen in the
past 10,000 years, and perhaps conditions which mankind has never experienced.
I guess we can take it as definitive that the needs of our lifestyles ARE having an 'affective' relation on climate...but, no doubt, those that fear
a lessening in their profits will trot out the scientific 'money' whores to soothsay and tut tut the data.
It's amazing isn't it! We are contributing to the acceleration towards prohibiting the planet to sustain us, and yet those whom profit from
pollution and polluting will deny the reality of it...and we call ourselves civillised...what a load o' bollocks! Here's the source...
news.bbc.co.uk...
Best wishes (or good luck)
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reply posted on 30-1-2007 @ 12:54 AM by damefool
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Our local newspaper reports as IPCC have stated over the next period of 10 years, average temperture would increase frm 4'5C to 6C.
Gosh, this is serious!!
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reply posted on 30-1-2007 @ 04:13 AM by Essan
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Originally posted by andy1033
yep i understand people want to jump the gun, but unless they are clear on what there findings are, and there words have strengh behind them, it is
just a waste of time. saying things like likely just leaves things open, thats all i am saying.
Unfortunately, we're talking about what will probably happen in the future based on the latest scientific understandings and research, and thus
it's impossible to state absolutely - hence a range of possiblities with regards temp change etc. Only God deals in certainties.
i understand that it may not be the final wording or the report. i have not read the past reports, so it will be intersting to see what it
actually says.
It would be advisable to read the summary of the previous report (TAR) first
www.ipcc.ch...
i wonder what percentage of the scientists accept the findings, that are not part of the group, and is this board accepted as knowing what they
are talking about.
Most of the world's leading experts in the various fields of climatology are involved in producing the report. In fact there was an open invitation
to all interested persons to contribute. Nonetheless, as in all branches of science, there are some who disagree on certain findings.
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reply posted on 30-1-2007 @ 05:08 AM by elysiumfire
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Hi There,
Only God deals in certainties.
How do you know this? Your assumption is simply presumption!
Unfortunately, we're talking about what will probably happen in the future based on the latest scientific understandings and research, and
thus it's impossible to state absolutely - hence a range of possiblities with regards temp change etc.
I agree. The future state of the variability of the climate is open to guesstimations. However, the recent findings do show a trend in increasing
temperatures, and support past findings that also suggested that temps would go on increasing. That temps have increased there is no doubt! We are not
looking for absolute proof, we are looking for proof, and we have it.
It would be advisable to read the summary of the previous report (TAR) first.
Thanks for the advice, but I'll take the more recent and up-to-date reports for my information. Your quote merely represents a body of thought that
seeks to obsfucate and cast doubt upon those preparing the report. It's a cliche trick from the 'book of aspersion'...just cast doubt, and cause
confusion...don't allow the public to get a handhold on the reality of the issue. It's contemptuous!
Nonetheless, as in all branches of science, there are some who disagree on certain findings.
Yeah, I've already mentioned them...the 'scientific' money-whores.
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reply posted on 30-1-2007 @ 06:27 AM by Essan
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Originally posted by elysiumfire
Hi There,
Only God deals in certainties.
How do you know this? Your assumption is simply presumption!
LOL! Got me there
It would be advisable to read the summary of the previous report (TAR) first.
Thanks for the advice, but I'll take the more recent and up-to-date reports for my information. Your quote merely represents a body of thought that
seeks to obsfucate and cast doubt upon those preparing the report. It's a cliche trick from the 'book of aspersion'...just cast doubt, and cause
confusion...don't allow the public to get a handhold on the reality of the issue. It's contemptuous!
Eh?
I'm merely suggesting that it might be a good idea to read the previous report first, in order to get a better idea of what such reports contain and
- when the AR4 is available - as a reference point for how predictions have changed and improved. I shall certainly be comparing the 2 myself in due
course.
[edit on 30-1-2007 by Essan]
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reply posted on 30-1-2007 @ 02:06 PM by elysiumfire
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Hi There,
Here I go again having to apologise...sorry Andy, I perceived (erroneously) a stab at the report and the report makers...I tend not to trust critics
of global warming, simply because we have real evidence that our activities are contributing to it; critics have other 'nefarious' reasons for
denying that they do.
Man has been pumping all sorts of toxic 'crap' into the air for the last 250 years, and whilst it was only a handful of countries doing so, the last
100 plus years has seen a rise in more nations industrialising and following the same trend...and this looks to rise even more. A lot of that 'crap'
does not stay in the atmosphere, but finds its way back to earth in raindrops, some of which gets flushed off the land into the sea...either way, it
gets into the foodchain by a number of avenues.
Even if we take global warming out of the equation, our self-toxification should prick our consciences to seek cleaner lifestyles...but you know this!
Surely, its all about the recognition of environmental balance...and the putting back what we take out, with fossil fuels, we can't do that. We take
them out, burn them, and create toxic waste...it's nonsensical!
Best wishes
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 12:01 AM by loam
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OMG! And this is the watered-down version????????
[ats]http://images.google.com/images?q=tbn:AYe-yqu_iQCe8M:maximumbob.wordpress.com...[/ats]
Climate change means hunger and thirst for billions: report
Billions of people will suffer water shortages and the number of hungry will grow by hundreds of millions by 2080 as global temperatures rise,
scientists warn in a new report.
The report estimates that between 1.1 billion and 3.2 billion people will be suffering from water scarcity problems by 2080 and between 200
million and 600 million more people will be going hungry.
The assessment is contained in a draft of a major international report by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to be released later
this year, Australia's The Age newspaper said.
Rising sea levels could flood seven million more homes, while Australia's famed Great Barrier Reef, treasured as the world's largest living
organism, could be dead within decades, the scientists warn, the newspaper said.
More...
FOR ALL YOU NAY-SAYERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I hope you are right.
[edit on 31-1-2007 by loam]
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 07:13 AM by Essan
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Worth noting though that current estimates say that by 2050 there will be about 3 billion more people living on this planet.
Hmmm, could there be a connection I wonder?
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 07:18 AM by Essan
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Originally posted by elysiumfire
Hi There,
Here I go again having to apologise...sorry Andy, I perceived (erroneously) a stab at the report and the report makers...
No probs
btw I'm a harsh critic of the 'catastrophists ' - those who misrepresent the science and other evidence in order to present a more extreme
impression of what is currently happening and what may well happen in the future. I'm also a critic of the 'deniers' - those who refuse to accept
that human activity is having any impact on climate change.
I walk a fine line, assailed from both sides .........
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 08:11 AM by loam
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Originally posted by Essan
I walk a fine line, assailed from both sides .........
I have played that game all too well... But barring any compelling information to the contrary, it becomes increasingly difficult to assert there are
vast numbers of 'catastrophists' connected with this issue.
Trust me, as I've already indicated, I'd prefer that be the case.... But it appears that is fanciful thinking on my part.
[edit on 31-1-2007 by loam]
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 10:56 AM by TheAvenger
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Global Warming: What a unique way this topic is dealt with in this thread. A.T.S.: deny ignorance, conspiracies, government wrongdoing etc.
With U.F.O.s, aliens, 911 conspiracy and many other subjects on A.T.S, it is the evil world governments and the even more evil invisible government
calling the plays; they have been withholding the information, the absolute proof so that a factual case for these phenomena cannot be made.
Here we have a thread where many Global Warming proponents simply line up behind the government like good robots, and blindly trust the varying
government's assessments of Global Warming. Incredible, isn't it? Trusting the government 100% on this subject but believing almost nothing else the
government states at all. They nearly break their arms patting themselves on the back for agreeing with each other and the popular thinking on G.W.
For a place that supposedly encourages open-minded discussion of almost anything, there is no room for skeptics here! The author of any publication
that does not agree with the popular position on G.W. is instantly labeled as a fraud, bought off by big oil, a hillbilly or just simply a "money
whore". The 17,000+ scientists who signed the Oregon petitions are all charlatans. World class geophysicists just "cherry-pick" whatever data they
choose to make their case. The author of "State of Fear", "Jurassic Park", "The Andromeda Strain", other fine novels who is very well versed in
science is just a clown. Whatever source cited is defamed and jeered as nonsense. As an environmental chemist of over 35 years experience, who tests
environmental samples everyday, I too, was insulted, accused of sophomoric writing obviously having no life or work experience, no knowledge of
science because I used the popular term "Theory" with global warming then shown some narrow definitions of the word to make their case. Even
typographical errors were cited as proof of my ignorance. I was accused of "parroting" the work of others. So where is their original research on
the subject? A chart (made by others) showing increasing levels of CO2 in the atmosphere is shown me as proof? The smoking gun? It proves NOTHING! At
57 years of age, I resent these undeserved and derogatory comments that are clearly intended to discredit me. So what now? Old and senile? Is ridicule
your best case for G. W.? Here is the reality of it:
The Global warming proponents cannot make their case with scientific fact, so they attempt to discredit anyone who does not believe in anthroPOgenic
Global Warming in any way they can. These are the exact tactics that two-bit lawyers and shady politicians use to make their cases.
I posted earlier that I would make no further comments here because of the narrow-mindedness and rigid, unwavering attitude of some regarding the
science behind Global Warming. I changed my mind because I AM open-minded. Let me tell you this: scientists must stay open-minded, always seeking the
greater truth. Politics must never be allowed to influence science, which it unfortunately has on this Global Warming issue. If the U.N. report
finally makes the case for G.W. with irrefutable evidence, I clearly am capable of changing my mind, and if so, I will lead the march for
environmental reforms!
[edit on 31-1-2007 by TheAvenger]
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 11:17 AM by loam
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Originally posted by TheAvenger
If the U.N. report finally makes the case for G.W. with irrefutable evidence, I clearly am capable of changing my mind, and if so, I will lead the
march for environmental reforms!
Then let us wait for the IPCC's release and assess the report accordingly.
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 03:44 PM by elysiumfire
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Hi There,
I walk a fine line, assailed from both sides...
Yeah, Andy, I'm similar myself...and for a while I found myself 'see-sawing' between the presented data and the critics of the data, but then found
that 'connections' existed between the big business polluters and influential politicians, and critics of the data.
All I have to do is stick my head out of the window to know that climate is changing. You know, I don't dress according to the TV weatherman, I look
outside and see what the weather is doing and dress according to that. We see changes in the bio-patterns of animals whom live by the seasons, and we
can see disruption. We can trace local weather patterns back half a century and we can see dramatic shifts, and out-of-kilter systems, throwing up
more and more storms of increasing intensity. Basically, the natural systems are having to deal with extra heat and surplus energy, which is causing
the change around in traditional weather patterns, and part of the reason for the extra heat and surplus energy is down to our activities which are
driven by our lifestyles, and there are those whom will oppose in any way necessary, the conscientious and responsible calls to address the issue,
because they do not care one jot about the consequences to others in other nations.
To my mind, global warming doesn't carry a singular effect, but many effects, not all happening at the same time...the effects are modular, and
out-of-kilter. We do not see a full picture due to scale problems, but rather pieces of the picture in jigsaw fashion, and they do not remain in
place, but swap around. The only thing we do actually see is the consistent slow rise in temps, causing floating module pockets of chaos traversing
the globe as the climate seeks to adjust towards balance. The climate is robbing Peter to pay Paul, but always remaining in a growing debt...which our
children's children will have to pay.
best wishes
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 06:23 PM by Regenmacher
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This IPCC isn't some group of radical greenies that want to scare the crap out of people, and they represent the world's best minds on climate
change. Their reports are fairly conservative and their climate outlook warnings in the 2001 were below what has actually transpired.
UN Climate Change Report On Global Warming
The report is not without its critics in the scientific community. One senior British climate expert quoted in The Observer warned that the report’s
predictions are relatively rosy, given its painstaking consensus process: “The really chilling thing about the IPCC report is that it is the work of
several thousand climate experts who have widely differing views about how greenhouse gases will have their effect. Each paragraph of this report was
therefore argued over and scrutinized intensely. Only points that were considered indisputable survived this process. This is a very conservative
document - that's what makes it so scary.”
Senator James Inhofe (R-Okla.), former chair of the Environment and Public Works Committee, labelled climate change “the biggest hoax ever
perpetrated on mankind” and insisted that there is “no relationship between man-made gases and global warming”. He also repeatedly censored the
scientific reports and public comments of top NASA climate scientist Dr Jim Hansen, who blasted the secretive nature of the Bush administration and
once told an environmental journalists conference that, “In 39 years at NASA, I’ve never seen anything like the degree to which the information
flow from our scientists to the public is as inhibited as it is now.” Please visit the link provided for the complete story.
So we can either heed the advice that's built on 10,000 years of civilization and plan ahead...or surrender to the fates.
[edit on 31-1-2007 by Regenmacher]
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 06:34 PM by darkbluesky
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If they're up to it...I say...Giddyup!!
You know...survival...fittest...and all that.
I reckon there are more than a few posters around these parts who believe homo sapiens sapiens aren't worthy of survival. Heck....no dung beetle or
gnat ever caused golbal waming so they must be smarter than we all.
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reply posted on 31-1-2007 @ 09:34 PM by loam
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Originally posted by Regenmacher
“In 39 years at NASA, I’ve never seen anything like the degree to which the information flow from our scientists to the public is as inhibited as
it is now.”
Regenmacher:
You said something, either in this thread or another, to the effect that this impending climate crisis was in fact previously known and explains much
in the way of the political choices being made in the Middle East...in other words, it's all about grabbing the world's resources to survive what
may be coming.
I too have had this thought, but dismissed it as unlikely.
Re-reading the article above, it occurred to me that the US was far more likely to have known before anyone else...and it's really a lot easier to
believe this rationale then the one that requires large numbers of the people in our government to have lost their flippin' minds.
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