posted on Apr, 27 2005 @ 05:44 PM
The U.S. now burns very little oil for electricity. It is too expensive for that purpose. Coal (unfortunately very dirty), natural gas, hydro and
Transportation is going to get significantly more expensive, but there will not be mass de-industrialization, because electricity will still be
Plug-in hybrids ought to be far more common, letting people do their daily business
running on non-petroleum based electricity. Cheaper night-time metering will
have to be universal. Air pollution laws will have to be relaxed to allow the more
efficient diesels to dominate. Diesel-electric hybrids will be the most complicated
and expensive engine systems, but very fuel efficient.
However long-haul automobile travel---e.g. the prototypical "road trip" or car-based family vacation will be significantly more rare and expensive.
Natural gas will get more expensive (though not as bad as oil) since it is a substitute for petroleum in fuel. CNG and LPG automobile conversions
will be common for those who can't afford a new hybrid.
Imported goods will be significantly more expensive because of transportation costs---it will be a foolish luxury to eat foods or other bulky items
produced far away. Air travel will turn back into a rare and expensive luxury service, and passenger boats and zepplins may make a comeback for
long-haul travel. Think "1930's" style.
Oil sands will supply oil, but production rate cannot be increased even remotely high enough to counteract depletion of mideast conventional oil